NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	112		Excitement	7.0 [418]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +16.9%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	9.9 [167]		LVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): -10.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.10	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.08
Brook Lopez	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	46%	0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07
Yi Jianlian	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	18%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	20	54%	0.11	6	-0.16	17	76%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	18	37%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	21	58%	0.27	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.10	-0.03	5	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.02	15	51%	0.21	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.05
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	64%	0.13	3	-0.09	20	80%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.05	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	34.4	15.4	28.8	1.7	35.4	143.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +20.6%

GSW +21.7%

GSW +12.9%

NJN -5.7%

GSW +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	GSW	NBA	NJN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	15.5	108.7	113.7	106.4
season	16.0	13.8		106.5	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.5		111.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.6	13.0	16.7	15.0	14.5
GSW	13.6	13.7	13.3	13.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	14	14	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.07	13	-17	30	12.4	14.8	-2.39	15.1	13.4	1.79
Yi Jianlian	20	21	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-9	14	16.1	14.1	1.99	15.8	13.0	2.72
Jarvis Hayes	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.39	8	-12	20	13.7	15.1	-1.35	14.3	13.0	1.26
Trenton Hassell	76	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	1	-6	14.7	14.0	0.72	14.3	12.0	2.30
Sean Williams	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-2	0	15.4	14.2	1.24	12.9	13.8	-0.89
Brook Lopez	77	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-2	0	14.2	15.4	-1.24	13.8	12.9	0.89
Bobby Simmons	52	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	3	-10	14.2	14.8	-0.69	12.3	14.9	-2.53
Devin Harris	90	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	2	-8	14.4	15.5	-1.11	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Keyon Dooling	48	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	7	-18	14.6	14.4	0.20	12.4	14.7	-2.35
Vince Carter	67	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	9	-22	15.1	13.3	1.79	13.5	13.7	-0.22

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	94	95	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-5	14	13.7	12.5	1.19	14.8	11.0	3.79
Corey Maggette	68	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-2	8	13.0	14.7	-1.66	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Anthony Morrow	28	29	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-1	6	14.3	13.3	1.00	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Jamal Crawford	99	100	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	1	2	13.5	18.3	-4.88	14.4	19.0	-4.64
Ronny Turiaf	36	36	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	8	-12	14.3	13.2	1.14	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Andris Biedrins	66	67	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	-4	12	13.2	14.3	-1.14	14.7	14.1	0.63
Monta Ellis	65	65	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	13.3	14.1	-0.84	14.9	13.8	1.12
Anthony Randolph	34	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	6	-8	14.7	13.0	1.66	15.2	14.1	1.10
Kelenna Azubuike	20	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	11	-18	13.8	13.5	0.31	12.9	14.9	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 110, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.6%
BOS 100, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	92.5%
ORL 94, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	91.8%