NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	5.6 [703]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +31.3%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	5.9 [289]		LVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): -9.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.14	0.04	16	74%	0.29	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	43%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	21	48%	-0.00	3	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
JJ Hickson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.17	0.03	12	81%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	16	61%	0.25	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.01	3	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	9	45%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.3	30.4	16.4	28.9	2.7	29.3	135.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.4%

DET +13.3%

CLE -0.6%

DET +6.7%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.5	100.0	106.7	106.4
season	16.9	16.9		110.6	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		106.2	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	17.4	16.8	15.8	16.4
DET	17.9	13.3	13.9	18.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	10	9	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-11	15	16.5	16.4	0.08	20.4	15.2	5.21
Daniel Gibson	60	60	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-11	15	16.5	16.3	0.17	15.3	16.7	-1.47
Sasha Pavlovic	20	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	20.7	15.2	5.58	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Ben Wallace	47	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	16.3	16.5	-0.23	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Anderson Varejao	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-7	7	16.3	16.6	-0.26	16.5	14.2	2.28
Delonte West	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.7	20.5	-5.81	16.6	13.7	2.90
LeBron James	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-2	-3	15.3	22.1	-6.86	15.8	15.5	0.35
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.07	-16	9	-25	17.2	15.3	1.98	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Mo Williams	58	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	2	-11	17.6	14.2	3.43	15.4	16.4	-0.96

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	25	25	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-5	17	17.2	15.2	2.00	16.2	16.5	-0.37
Jason Maxiell	33	33	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-2	11	18.5	14.1	4.41	17.3	15.9	1.39
Allen Iverson	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	15.7	15.9	-0.13	16.1	20.7	-4.65
Rodney Stuckey	42	41	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	16.4	15.2	1.13	16.6	16.3	0.25
Rasheed Wallace	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	16.0	14.0	2.03	15.9	19.8	-3.87
Kwame Brown	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	2	3	14.7	16.4	-1.72	17.0	16.0	1.01
Will Bynum	8	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	7	-7	15.9	15.7	0.13	20.7	16.1	4.65
Richard Hamilton	64	64	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	14.7	18.3	-3.59	17.0	15.1	1.87
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	11	-15	15.2	17.3	-2.11	15.5	18.9	-3.41
Amir Johnson	17	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	13.8	16.2	-2.38	17.4	16.2	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	92.4%
MEM 98, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.1%
LAL 87, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.85,0.98,0.94,0.99,1	92.1%