NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	6.1 [260]		MVP	RJ Barrett (TOR): +24.0%
Toronto Raptors	134		Comeback	1.5 [370]		LVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): -13.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
V�t Krej?�	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	6	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	19	72%	0.26	6	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Dyson Daniels	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.01	13	71%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keaton Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	21	59%	0.12	4	-0.08	9	67%	-0.03
Asa Newell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	11	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.08	-0.03	19	69%	0.24	3	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	0.00	15	81%	0.28	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	14	61%	0.14	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Collin Murray-Boyles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alijah Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	0.0	30.8	0.0	24.5	0.0	30.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +17.8%

TOR +11.2%

TOR +2.0%

TOR +19.0%

TOR +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	12.8	13.8	14.1	108.3	124.1	113.9
season	13.2	14.0		114.3	113.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		111.3	114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.8	11.8	15.0	13.3	12.8
TOR	12.4	13.9	15.7	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaccharie Risacher	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-7	-3	13.8	10.7	3.13	14.0	13.2	0.85
Jalen Johnson	94	95	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-6	-5	13.3	9.8	3.51	14.2	10.7	3.52
V�t Krej?�	91	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-4	-9	13.3	10.2	3.16	13.5	15.1	-1.58
Keaton Wallace	94	94	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-4	-9	13.3	9.6	3.76	13.6	15.2	-1.64
Dyson Daniels	86	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-8	-1	13.1	12.0	1.12	14.3	12.0	2.24
Mouhamed Gueye	105	106	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	-3	-11	13.1	3.7	9.44	13.6	23.5	-9.90
Caleb Houstan	27	27	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-1	-15	13.3	12.7	0.56	13.4	13.9	-0.51
Onyeka Okongwu	93	93	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	-3	-11	12.9	12.2	0.75	13.2	17.5	-4.27
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	104	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	-2	-13	12.7	16.0	-3.28	13.8	13.4	0.41
Asa Newell	53	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	2	-21	12.6	13.0	-0.39	12.8	14.7	-1.92

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	93	92	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-3	23	13.5	15.3	-1.80	12.8	13.1	-0.26
Gradey Dick	105	104	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-2	21	13.5	23.3	-9.82	13.1	6.0	7.11
RJ Barrett	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-1	19	14.0	13.2	0.83	13.2	12.1	1.09
Brandon Ingram	100	99	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	1	15	13.6	15.7	-2.12	13.1	10.4	2.62
Scottie Barnes	105	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	13.8	14.7	-0.90	12.8	13.0	-0.16
Jamal Shead	105	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	13.8	14.7	-0.90	12.9	9.0	3.92
Sandro Mamukelashvili	99	99	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	5	7	13.6	15.9	-2.29	12.7	14.4	-1.75
Mo Bamba	27	27	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	1	15	13.4	13.9	-0.51	13.3	12.7	0.56
Alijah Martin	24	25	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	1	15	13.2	13.9	-0.69	13.6	12.6	0.99
Ochai Agbaji	37	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	6	5	13.1	14.2	-1.07	13.2	12.6	0.61
Ja'Kobe Walter	98	97	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	6	5	13.6	16.1	-2.55	13.2	9.6	3.57
Collin Murray-Boyles	76	77	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	9	-1	14.0	13.3	0.63	13.6	11.0	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.43,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
BOS 90, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CHA 115, DEN 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.67,0.84,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%