NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	6.2 [521]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (PHX): +4.6%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.1 [1008]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -17.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Dana Barros	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.03	0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	7	52%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06
Chauncey Billups	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	10	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.05	0.06	22	56%	-0.01	7	-0.16	6	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	12	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	44%	-0.08
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.06	0.01	4	87%	0.12	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	6	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	64%	0.07	5	-0.13	9	67%	-0.02
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	0.05	13	38%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.5	25.9	15.0	26.3	2.4	30.2	124.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +60.2%

PHX +1.2%

PHX +1.4%

BOS -14.6%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	14.0	15.6	90.9	99.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.0		100.2	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	13.2	17.1	15.5	14.9
PHX	15.2	10.8	14.2	16.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Edney	13	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-12	14	12.6	15.2	-2.58	12.3	14.2	-1.84
Dana Barros	45	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-14	18	14.5	15.1	-0.60	13.2	14.6	-1.38
Roy Rogers	7	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-7	4	16.9	14.7	2.15	12.1	14.1	-1.98
Andrew DeClercq	57	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-8	6	13.7	16.4	-2.64	13.5	14.7	-1.21
Ron Mercer	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-12	14	14.7	15.0	-0.38	12.7	15.1	-2.45
Dee Brown	33	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	13.1	15.7	-2.61	12.9	14.5	-1.54
Greg Minor	16	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-6	2	17.1	14.4	2.63	14.6	13.8	0.80
Walter McCarty	45	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-6	2	14.8	14.9	-0.03	15.7	12.4	3.36
Travis Knight	51	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-12	14	16.0	13.6	2.44	14.0	13.9	0.01
Bruce Bowen	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	1	-12	15.3	14.2	1.11	13.8	14.2	-0.33
Chauncey Billups	41	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	6	-22	15.9	14.1	1.82	15.2	13.0	2.20
Antoine Walker	78	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.09	-17	7	-24	14.8	15.0	-0.24	14.6	11.5	3.07

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	75	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-5	20	14.4	12.7	1.75	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Clifford Robinson	48	50	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-4	18	15.8	12.3	3.55	17.0	12.6	4.41
Steve Nash	60	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	3	4	13.2	15.0	-1.85	14.6	15.3	-0.74
Antonio McDyess	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	1	8	14.0	13.9	0.15	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Mark Bryant	38	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	13.3	14.3	-0.98	15.2	14.7	0.57
George McCloud	63	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	6	-2	12.6	16.3	-3.71	14.1	16.1	-1.95
Rex Chapman	84	81	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	8	-6	14.0	13.9	0.01	14.3	17.2	-2.89
Cedric Ceballos	69	67	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	10	-10	14.7	12.4	2.21	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Brooks Thompson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	13	-16	13.0	14.0	-0.97	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Marko Milic	12	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	13	-16	12.5	14.1	-1.65	15.5	14.8	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	95.1%
BOS 79, OKC 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.8%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.6%