NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	79		Excitement	5.5 [684]		MVP	Nick Collison (OKC): +7.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	91		Comeback	1.3 [1238]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -24.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	65%	0.13	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.02	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	11	30%	-0.06	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.05	0.06	8	50%	-0.07	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.24,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	19	26%	-0.19	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.00	5	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	86%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.07	3	-0.10	11	100%	0.06
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.7	2.8	34.0	17.0	32.2	3.5	35.5	156.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +33.9%

OKC +16.7%

BOS -11.1%

OKC +12.7%

BOS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	OKC	NBA	BOS	OKC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.4	83.2	95.8	104.1
season	14.9	14.8		101.2	109.3
opponent	15.5	16.2		100.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.2	15.2	16.0	16.0	14.7
OKC	14.0	17.5	13.3	18.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-13	14	12.1	15.6	-3.55	12.9	16.5	-3.56
Terrence Williams	7	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-9	6	15.0	14.7	0.28	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Avery Bradley	69	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	14.8	14.5	0.27	15.3	16.3	-0.95
Paul Pierce	67	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-11	10	14.4	15.5	-1.03	16.5	13.1	3.40
Brandon Bass	64	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-6	0	15.5	13.1	2.48	14.9	16.9	-2.04
Kevin Garnett	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	15.4	13.7	1.65	16.4	14.3	2.10
Courtney Lee	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	0	-12	15.5	13.7	1.85	16.3	14.6	1.71
Jason Terry	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-7	2	13.7	15.7	-2.06	15.6	15.5	0.08
Jordan Crawford	31	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	14.9	14.6	0.29	15.0	15.8	-0.85
Jeff Green	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-1	-10	14.5	15.0	-0.54	15.6	15.6	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	50	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-1	14	16.4	14.7	1.65	15.1	14.3	0.75
Kevin Martin	59	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	8	-4	16.0	14.9	1.11	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Kendrick Perkins	60	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	4	4	15.5	15.7	-0.17	15.2	14.0	1.25
Derek Fisher	26	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	4	4	15.3	15.7	-0.32	15.5	14.4	1.10
Reggie Jackson	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	7	-2	16.0	15.4	0.59	14.4	14.9	-0.45
Nick Collison	53	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	6	0	14.2	17.4	-3.19	14.0	15.6	-1.63
Kevin Durant	75	76	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	8	-4	15.8	14.6	1.18	15.1	13.4	1.71
Russell Westbrook	67	68	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	7	-2	15.4	16.0	-0.55	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	48	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	8	-4	15.9	15.2	0.68	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Ronnie Brewer	5	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	9	-6	12.4	15.8	-3.36	15.8	14.7	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.5%
DAL 92, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%