NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	5.5 [694]		MVP	Joe Smith (GSW): +11.6%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	1.2 [553]		LVP	Martin Muursepp (DAL): -10.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samaki Walker	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	74%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Anstey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Scott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	19	47%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	30	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	24%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Martin Muursepp	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	13%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	22	60%	0.17	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	9	77%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Duane Ferrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	14	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	23.8	14.8	24.2	1.7	33.3	123.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.4%

DAL -0.9%

GSW +6.5%

DAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.6	96.8	109.6	102.5
season	15.8	15.6		98.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.5		102.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	15.4	17.6	14.6	15.5
GSW	13.1	16.6	15.9	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-9	7	14.5	15.6	-1.07	15.5	14.9	0.64
Martin Muursepp	26	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-9	7	15.3	15.6	-0.26	13.4	15.5	-2.15
Khalid Reeves	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-2	-7	17.4	13.8	3.61	16.9	13.3	3.67
Hubert Davis	39	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-9	7	14.8	16.0	-1.14	14.9	15.1	-0.19
A.C. Green	61	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-7	3	14.9	16.6	-1.75	15.7	13.5	2.19
Samaki Walker	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	0	-11	16.7	14.2	2.54	15.5	14.3	1.20
Michael Finley	94	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.17	-12	1	-13	15.5	11.0	4.54	15.0	13.0	2.02
Dennis Scott	84	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	2	-15	15.3	17.1	-1.81	14.4	20.0	-5.62

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	77	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-6	23	15.0	15.0	-0.03	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Felton Spencer	35	36	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-5	21	17.0	13.8	3.22	18.1	13.9	4.21
Muggsy Bogues	47	46	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	0	11	15.1	14.9	0.21	15.4	15.6	-0.24
Adonal Foyle	25	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	3	5	16.3	14.5	1.83	16.3	15.2	1.12
Tony Delk	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	6	-1	15.1	14.9	0.21	15.3	15.7	-0.33
Brian Shaw	47	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	5	1	14.9	15.1	-0.21	15.7	15.3	0.33
Donyell Marshall	79	80	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	10	-9	14.5	17.4	-2.88	15.3	16.6	-1.31
Bimbo Coles	47	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	11	-11	14.9	15.1	-0.21	15.6	15.4	0.24
Erick Dampier	59	59	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.20	-5	16	-21	13.8	17.0	-3.22	13.9	18.1	-4.21
Duane Ferrell	2	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	13	-15	8.0	15.1	-7.13	13.5	15.5	-2.04
David Vaughn	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	13	-15	18.4	14.8	3.61	18.8	15.3	3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 80, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 85, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAS 92, OKC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%