NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	5.6 [723]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +15.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	1.2 [829]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	16	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	19	45%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	0.03	19	48%	-0.00	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	10	79%	0.23	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Jason Kapono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	42%	-0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	12	35%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	26.4	15.7	25.3	1.6	31.3	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.3%

PHI +11.5%

PHI +7.1%

PHI +6.6%

UTA -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	15.5	94.4	105.5	105.7
season	15.9	15.5		106.4	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	15.8	13.8	14.8	15.3
PHI	15.2	15.5	15.6	20.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	66	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-11	11	14.6	17.2	-2.69	16.1	17.8	-1.70
Mehmet Okur	21	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	18.7	14.2	4.42	14.5	17.2	-2.70
Deron Williams	75	75	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-10	9	14.7	18.4	-3.75	16.3	17.6	-1.32
Raja Bell	66	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	14.5	17.5	-3.03	16.6	16.3	0.31
Andrei Kirilenko	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	15.5	15.1	0.35	17.4	15.7	1.62
Earl Watson	15	16	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-1	-9	18.4	14.7	3.75	17.6	16.3	1.32
Gordon Hayward	53	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	16.8	13.2	3.59	16.9	16.1	0.76
Al Jefferson	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-6	1	14.2	18.7	-4.42	17.2	14.5	2.70
CJ Miles	41	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	3	-17	15.6	15.0	0.65	15.8	17.1	-1.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	35	33	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-1	13	15.8	17.0	-1.15	17.1	14.2	2.86
Thaddeus Young	42	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	4	3	17.4	15.8	1.61	15.3	15.2	0.07
Andre Iguodala	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	5	1	17.4	13.4	3.94	15.2	15.5	-0.24
Elton Brand	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	7	-3	16.6	16.3	0.37	14.8	16.6	-1.73
Lou Williams	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	8	-5	16.7	16.3	0.36	16.1	14.3	1.77
Jrue Holiday	65	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	16.3	17.0	-0.70	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Jodie Meeks	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	2	7	16.2	16.9	-0.73	14.0	16.9	-2.92
Tony Battie	12	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	8	-5	18.1	16.3	1.78	15.5	15.2	0.21
Spencer Hawes	47	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	9	-7	16.1	17.0	-0.81	14.3	16.3	-1.95
Marreese Speights	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	7	-3	13.2	17.1	-3.86	20.6	14.4	6.24
Jason Kapono	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	12	-13	10.0	16.7	-6.69	3.5	15.5	-12.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	96.1%
ORL 73, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAL 80, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%