NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	73		Excitement	5.1 [779]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ORL): +8.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	1.1 [1104]		LVP	Juwan Howard (ORL): -21.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.04	7	86%	0.18	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Tracy McGrady	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	19	43%	0.01	5	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	8	37%	-0.13	2	-0.08	11	55%	-0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	17	47%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	6	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	20	54%	0.09	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	15	44%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	29.4	15.6	24.2	2.6	24.6	126.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.1%

ORL -0.7%

PHI +7.4%

PHI +9.1%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	16.9	15.7	79.3	103.3	100.5
season	15.7	16.2		100.9	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	14.4	16.1	14.2	14.4
PHI	17.0	16.3	18.2	16.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	14.2	14.4	-0.14	20.2	16.6	3.64
Keith Bogans	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-21	20	12.4	15.2	-2.78	17.6	16.7	0.98
Zaza Pachulia	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-19	16	14.7	14.3	0.39	18.0	16.8	1.22
Andrew DeClercq	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-20	18	14.4	14.4	0.09	16.6	17.0	-0.40
Shammond Williams	30	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-15	8	15.3	13.9	1.36	17.6	16.5	1.07
Tyronn Lue	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-10	-2	14.0	15.1	-1.06	16.5	17.8	-1.30
Gordan Giricek	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	-3	-16	14.8	13.5	1.30	16.7	17.4	-0.73
Juwan Howard	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-13	4	13.8	15.6	-1.71	16.6	17.5	-0.85
Rod Strickland	38	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-9	-4	14.2	14.5	-0.24	16.9	17.0	-0.09
Drew Gooden	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	-3	-16	15.1	12.8	2.27	17.0	16.8	0.24
Tracy McGrady	79	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.14	-24	2	-26	14.5	13.8	0.71	16.7	18.1	-1.35

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	-1	24	16.3	17.6	-1.32	14.9	13.8	1.12
Kyle Korver	48	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-3	28	16.8	17.1	-0.32	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Eric Snow	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	-1	24	17.1	16.0	1.09	14.5	13.6	0.89
Aaron McKie	64	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.04	16	6	10	17.2	16.3	0.92	15.0	13.0	2.07
Glenn Robinson	73	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.27	21	1	20	16.6	18.0	-1.36	14.6	13.3	1.30
Greg Buckner	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	21	-20	15.3	17.2	-1.88	10.5	15.0	-4.47
John Salmons	49	49	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	17	-12	16.3	17.6	-1.28	13.9	14.9	-0.94
Amal McCaskill	33	33	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	22	-22	18.5	16.0	2.53	16.0	13.5	2.48
Zendon Hamilton	41	41	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	27	-32	18.1	16.0	2.12	13.6	15.0	-1.35
Kenny Thomas	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	21	-20	15.1	17.2	-2.15	13.0	14.6	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAS 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.7%
CHI 92, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%