NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	94		Excitement	5.4 [737]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +18.1%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.0 [1132]		LVP	Tim Frazier (NOP): -14.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	22	67%	0.17	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Terrence Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	4	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	0.07	16	41%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	20	58%	0.22	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.05	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	16	57%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	47.0	0.5	26.4	2.5	38.2	141.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.4%

SAC +6.6%

NOP -13.0%

SAC +5.2%

SAC +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	14.8	103.3	110.9	107.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.1	106.0
opponent	14.6	15.0		110.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.5	14.8	14.5	16.6	15.1
SAC	16.1	17.2	15.5	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	46	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-4	0	14.5	15.6	-1.10	15.7	17.1	-1.41
Langston Galloway	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-6	4	15.4	14.9	0.46	15.8	16.7	-0.90
E'Twaun Moore	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-8	8	14.7	15.9	-1.19	17.1	15.0	2.07
Anthony Davis	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-4	0	14.4	17.4	-3.01	16.4	16.4	0.05
Terrence Jones	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-7	6	15.1	15.0	0.08	16.0	16.9	-0.81
Tim Frazier	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.09	16.7	15.8	0.90
Omer Asik	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	3	-14	16.0	14.1	1.89	16.6	16.2	0.34
Buddy Hield	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-4	0	14.7	15.3	-0.61	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Solomon Hill	47	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	0	-8	16.3	13.7	2.59	16.7	16.0	0.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	1	6	17.1	15.0	2.16	15.3	14.6	0.64
Darren Collison	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	16.1	16.8	-0.68	15.3	14.7	0.61
Matt Barnes	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	3	2	16.1	16.8	-0.79	15.5	14.5	0.97
Garrett Temple	36	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	1	6	15.7	16.9	-1.21	15.9	14.5	1.45
Ben McLemore	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	3	2	15.7	16.8	-1.09	15.8	14.7	1.05
Rudy Gay	62	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	5	-2	16.8	15.7	1.09	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Arron Afflalo	56	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	7	-6	16.9	15.7	1.21	14.5	15.9	-1.45
Willie Cauley-Stein	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	5	-2	14.2	17.3	-3.09	14.4	15.3	-0.95
Ty Lawson	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	5	-2	16.8	16.1	0.79	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Kosta Koufos	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	7	-6	17.1	15.8	1.30	14.9	15.3	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 70, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHH 75, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.8%