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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 75 Excitement4.9 [802] MVPTheo Ratliff (DET): +8.1%
Detroit Pistons 97 Comeback1.0 [1023] LVPDell Curry (CHH): -9.3%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Rose0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.03333%0.0300.0000%0.00
Matt Geiger0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Rafael Addison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02944%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tony Delk-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03275%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Glen Rice-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011365%0.104-0.1100%0.00
Muggsy Bogues-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00757%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Tony Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04425%-0.0320.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.011255%0.033-0.09771%-0.01
Vlade Divac-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00743%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Dell Curry-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01831%-0.032-0.0600%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00679%0.0800.00250%-0.02
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.03-0.01560%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.03-0.061030%0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.01856%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00957%0.041-0.02367%-0.01
Litterial Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.06-0.030.051671%0.094-0.11978%-0.03
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01533%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Rick Mahorn0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01425%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.001242%-0.042-0.05250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.522.517.422.62.623.0112.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +12.9%
DET +1.6%
DET +19.6%
DET +12.0%
DET +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHDETNBACHHDETNBA
this game17.017.915.691.5116.9104.4
season15.717.1108.0107.6
opponent16.216.0102.0106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH17.916.315.119.217.0
DET15.616.420.119.717.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Smith1414-0.05-0.450.400.25-10-12217.616.90.7320.117.42.74
Vlade Divac4648-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-222217.116.90.1619.515.73.77
Malik Rose2323-0.08-0.410.330.12-7-15817.117.00.1314.119.3-5.17
Tony Delk3333-0.20-0.300.100.27-16-6-1016.817.2-0.4717.817.9-0.18
Dell Curry4343-0.23-0.260.03-0.11-4-181416.617.6-1.0117.718.0-0.35
Rafael Addison3233-0.24-0.250.000.14-13-9-415.817.8-2.0114.620.0-5.41
Muggsy Bogues4647-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-15817.216.80.3617.917.90.01
Glen Rice6969-0.38-0.11-0.27-0.03-12-10-217.315.51.8719.112.07.06
Matt Geiger3635-0.44-0.06-0.380.21-220-2216.917.1-0.1615.719.5-3.77
Anthony Mason6870-0.49-0.00-0.490.06-19-3-1617.514.92.6319.210.98.23

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Hill63630.50-0.010.51-0.061931617.818.1-0.3117.914.33.61
Terry Mills37360.440.050.40-0.081841418.817.11.6518.116.21.92
Joe Dumars61580.400.090.31-0.101751219.613.16.4418.513.54.94
Don Reid25250.380.110.280.00139415.019.1-4.1016.717.2-0.46
Michael Curry27270.340.160.180.011111015.918.8-2.9315.217.9-2.76
Lindsey Hunter66630.170.33-0.16-0.27157818.714.83.9016.917.5-0.57
Litterial Green13150.090.41-0.32-0.06517-1210.919.2-8.2314.017.7-3.72
Theo Ratliff30310.070.42-0.360.04121-2015.519.2-3.7614.518.6-4.16
Otis Thorpe60580.060.44-0.38-0.241012-219.214.54.6917.017.1-0.12
Rick Mahorn14140.030.46-0.43-0.03220-1820.117.42.7420.716.34.43
Grant Long1920-0.020.51-0.530.01-123-2417.418.0-0.5815.417.6-2.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 94, SAC 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,194.8%
MIL 110, CLE 1240.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,194.6%
NOP 77, MIN 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,194.6%