NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	9.0 [101]		MVP	Donovan Clingan (POR): +12.1%
Sacramento Kings	93		Comeback	1.1 [375]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (SAC): -25.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Clingan	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	7	82%	0.23	2	-0.11	3	33%	-0.06
Shaedon Sharpe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	19	57%	0.27	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Williams III	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rayan Rupert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	18	52%	0.13	5	-0.15	10	90%	0.04
Caleb Love	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Sidy Cissoko	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	8%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Toumani Camara	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.04	-0.14	0.01	14	50%	-0.09	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.01	13	57%	0.22	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.02
Dennis Schr�der	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	13	64%	0.19	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.02
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario �ari?	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.06
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	19	38%	-0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	10	27%	-0.16	1	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	0.3	29.2	12.7	30.8	0.0	43.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +54.1%

SAC -5.6%

POR +7.1%

SAC -7.9%

POR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.1	98.0	94.9	113.8
season	13.8	14.1		111.9	106.8
opponent	14.1	14.0		118.3	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.8	14.9	14.1	15.8	14.4
SAC	16.5	13.3	15.9	12.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Clingan	76	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-12	29	14.6	13.9	0.73	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Toumani Camara	92	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	14.4	14.4	0.06	14.5	16.6	-2.05
Deni Avdija	94	92	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-1	7	14.7	10.8	3.83	14.6	16.3	-1.78
Shaedon Sharpe	100	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.4	0.0	14.43	14.7	0.0	14.66
Robert Williams III	95	93	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	3	-1	14.5	12.2	2.35	14.5	17.8	-3.31
Kris Murray	98	96	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	14.6	5.0	9.62	14.8	7.0	7.82
Sidy Cissoko	81	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	3	-1	14.7	13.4	1.31	14.8	14.0	0.80
Caleb Love	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	2	1	14.0	14.9	-0.98	15.4	13.9	1.44
Rayan Rupert	55	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	14.5	14.4	0.09	16.0	12.8	3.20
Duop Reath	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	15.4	14.2	1.18	12.6	15.1	-2.51

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario �ari?	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	12.6	14.8	-2.25	17.1	14.2	2.93
Nique Clifford	81	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	2	-9	14.9	13.4	1.59	14.5	14.3	0.16
Precious Achiuwa	28	28	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	15	-35	16.1	14.1	2.07	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Russell Westbrook	85	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	14.9	12.8	2.10	14.7	12.8	1.91
Keegan Murray	94	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	14.7	14.0	0.69	14.7	8.2	6.44
Dennis Schr�der	98	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.7	0.0	14.66	14.4	0.0	14.43
Dylan Cardwell	94	96	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	0	-5	14.5	18.5	-4.00	14.4	14.0	0.45
Keon Ellis	51	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	7	-19	15.5	13.8	1.72	14.4	14.4	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	94	96	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.36	-8	3	-11	14.6	15.7	-1.13	14.7	8.2	6.44
Maxime Raynaud	65	66	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.09	-24	19	-43	14.8	14.3	0.50	15.0	13.4	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.32,0.43,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 112, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.02,0,0	91.4%
OKC 108, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.02,0	91.2%
MIL 93, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.23,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.11,0.05,0,0	91.0%