NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	7.7 [325]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +34.6%
Charlotte Hornets	85		Comeback	1.6 [1021]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -15.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.34,0.35	0.20	0.16	0.02	28	65%	0.45	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.03	11	52%	0.13	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.02
Sterling Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	11	44%	0.01	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	18	46%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	41%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	13	27%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	18	35%	-0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	23.6	15.3	23.7	2.3	33.7	124.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.8%

MIL +9.4%

MIL +27.3%

CHA -17.2%

CHA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	14.2	95.9	87.6	109.6
season	13.2	15.1		111.0	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.1		112.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.7	12.4	16.0	17.2	15.2
CHA	14.9	15.3	13.5	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	70	71	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.21	22	-14	36	14.6	16.8	-2.19	15.2	12.3	2.88
Donte DiVincenzo	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-7	22	15.8	14.4	1.42	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Brook Lopez	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-8	24	14.8	15.8	-0.97	14.7	14.2	0.48
Wesley Matthews	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-3	14	15.9	14.3	1.59	13.8	15.3	-1.54
Eric Bledsoe	47	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	2	4	14.7	15.8	-1.12	14.5	14.4	0.03
George Hill	50	50	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	6	-4	15.8	14.7	1.12	14.4	14.5	-0.03
Pat Connaughton	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	9	-10	15.1	15.4	-0.30	14.8	14.1	0.69
Sterling Brown	37	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	16	-24	14.0	16.0	-2.04	15.4	13.9	1.53
Robin Lopez	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	20	-32	15.8	15.0	0.75	13.8	14.7	-0.94
Marvin Williams	39	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	19	-30	16.1	14.7	1.45	13.6	15.0	-1.39

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willy Hernangomez	41	41	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-19	30	15.5	13.7	1.83	14.3	15.9	-1.55
Caleb Martin	48	49	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.17	13	-21	34	13.0	15.9	-2.92	16.1	14.3	1.79
Cody Martin	58	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-10	12	14.9	13.8	1.14	15.3	15.2	0.05
Jalen McDaniels	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-8	8	15.7	14.2	1.49	15.7	15.1	0.62
Miles Bridges	71	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	14.6	14.1	0.51	15.4	14.9	0.53
Bismack Biyombo	46	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	7	-22	13.8	15.0	-1.15	15.2	15.2	0.00
Devonte' Graham	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	6	-20	14.5	14.4	0.05	14.8	16.2	-1.41
P.J. Washington	65	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	5	-18	13.9	15.6	-1.70	15.6	14.5	1.05
Terry Rozier	72	72	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.17	-20	12	-32	14.9	13.2	1.74	14.9	16.1	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.23,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.11,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.6%
OKC 98, SAS 97	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.16,0	92.6%
CHA 92, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0	92.5%