NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	6.1 [571]		MVP	Milt Palacio (TOR): +6.6%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	1.5 [395]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -24.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.03	0.07	19	68%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0.04	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	12	75%	0.16	5	-0.12	8	62%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	23	54%	0.12	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	14	55%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.04	0.06	17	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	13	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.20	-0.11	-0.06	13	46%	-0.06	7	-0.18	11	82%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	32.6	17.5	23.3	2.4	34.3	134.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.0%

TOR -11.1%

MIN +20.1%

TOR -2.6%

MIN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	17.3	15.7	118.7	105.4	100.5
season	15.6	16.8		103.2	94.8
opponent	15.7	16.1		98.4	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	14.3	14.0	14.3	14.1
TOR	18.0	15.7	20.3	15.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	72	70	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.14	28	-17	45	13.8	15.4	-1.64	18.4	14.0	4.39
Trenton Hassell	52	53	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.05	27	-16	43	13.6	14.8	-1.13	18.0	16.5	1.52
Kevin Garnett	79	78	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.11	23	-12	35	13.9	15.4	-1.49	18.1	13.4	4.69
Ervin Johnson	40	40	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-7	25	13.8	14.4	-0.62	19.9	15.4	4.49
Mark Madsen	39	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	20	-29	16.2	12.6	3.60	14.9	19.4	-4.52
Latrell Sprewell	66	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	10	-9	13.3	16.2	-2.92	17.0	18.3	-1.29
Oliver Miller	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	12	-13	11.9	14.5	-2.68	18.1	17.2	0.95
Troy Hudson	33	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	22	-33	14.8	13.7	1.05	14.7	19.0	-4.33
Gary Trent	6	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	20	-29	17.7	13.9	3.80	11.9	17.8	-5.93
Fred Hoiberg	54	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.13	-12	23	-35	14.9	13.0	1.84	17.0	17.8	-0.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	36	34	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.05	13	-24	37	15.4	18.6	-3.11	14.1	14.1	-0.05
Lamond Murray	12	10	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.08	10	-21	31	12.9	18.0	-5.08	17.0	13.8	3.23
Morris Peterson	58	58	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-6	1	17.0	17.9	-0.87	13.5	15.2	-1.76
Milt Palacio	66	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-11	11	17.5	16.8	0.68	15.2	11.4	3.75
Chris Bosh	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	2	-15	17.8	16.0	1.84	14.9	11.8	3.10
Alvin Williams	62	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	4	-19	17.7	16.6	1.14	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Donyell Marshall	79	79	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.13	-22	11	-33	17.8	14.5	3.26	13.5	18.3	-4.85
Jalen Rose	78	79	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.15	-23	12	-35	17.8	14.8	3.01	13.5	18.3	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, NOP 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.02,0	93.1%
NJN 87, WAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
HOU 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.02,0,0	92.7%