NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	6.3 [564]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NOP): +31.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	97		Comeback	1.9 [378]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -14.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.22	0.03	0.04	18	73%	0.31	3	-0.09	12	75%	0.01
Ray McCallum	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	19	51%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.01	18	50%	0.12	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Jared Cunningham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	1	75%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.11	0.01	13	85%	0.32	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	13	55%	0.12	1	-0.04	14	86%	0.08
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	80%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	12	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	2.0	27.2	15.8	28.0	1.8	35.1	141.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +12.5%

SAC +3.2%

SAC +40.9%

NOP -5.3%

NOP -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOP	NBA	SAC	NOP	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.1	108.5	103.2	105.2
season	15.4	15.5		104.5	105.6
opponent	15.3	14.7		108.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	15.0	16.8	17.0	15.5
NOP	16.0	14.4	15.1	14.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	71	75	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.17	23	-18	41	15.3	16.2	-0.92	15.4	14.2	1.20
Ben McLemore	75	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-10	25	15.1	17.2	-2.12	15.2	14.9	0.21
Ray McCallum	85	86	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-7	19	15.4	16.6	-1.14	15.4	12.0	3.41
Rudy Gay	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-8	21	15.7	14.4	1.31	15.2	14.5	0.74
Reggie Evans	45	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-11	27	14.6	16.4	-1.77	15.9	14.4	1.52
Quincy Acy	35	33	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	7	-9	16.1	15.2	0.85	15.1	15.1	-0.09
Jared Cunningham	10	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	14	-23	15.0	15.6	-0.58	12.0	15.4	-3.41
Travis Outlaw	34	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.20	-15	20	-35	15.7	15.4	0.24	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Jason Thompson	19	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.12	-13	18	-31	18.3	14.8	3.44	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Derrick Williams	18	19	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.12	-15	20	-35	16.1	15.4	0.73	13.4	15.6	-2.19

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	8	9	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-12	19	13.6	15.3	-1.63	18.1	15.2	2.86
Jeff Withey	55	54	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.49	19	-24	43	14.4	16.2	-1.82	16.5	14.2	2.34
Austin Rivers	47	45	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.21	9	-14	23	15.2	15.0	0.15	15.7	15.4	0.32
Darius Miller	58	57	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.34	12	-17	29	14.7	15.8	-1.07	15.5	15.5	0.06
Anthony Morrow	54	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.43	14	-19	33	14.5	15.9	-1.41	16.2	14.6	1.60
Alexis Ajinca	16	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	2	-9	16.3	14.9	1.44	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Greg Stiemsma	26	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	9	-23	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Al-Farouq Aminu	38	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	9	-23	15.9	14.6	1.35	14.7	16.1	-1.35
Brian Roberts	43	45	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	10	-25	15.3	15.0	0.26	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Tyreke Evans	51	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	11	-27	15.1	15.2	-0.13	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Anthony Davis	74	72	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.27	-20	15	-35	15.4	14.1	1.23	15.2	16.5	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.16,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0	94.6%
MIN 108, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.1%
HOU 97, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.02,0,0	92.9%