NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	5.7 [634]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +5.7%
Washington Wizards	79		Comeback	1.3 [640]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (NJN): -18.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	11	55%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	68%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	11	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.03	-0.07	13	53%	0.00	7	-0.10	8	100%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	20	49%	0.06	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.07	16	52%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	27.4	15.6	27.4	2.4	37.5	136.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +13.7%

NJN +24.5%

NJN +13.1%

WAS -2.0%

NJN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	16.0	15.5	91.6	84.0	101.6
season	15.0	16.5		101.1	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	19.2	13.7	11.9	14.4
WAS	18.1	15.0	16.9	14.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	66	64	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.15	22	-14	36	12.7	18.5	-5.82	16.5	15.0	1.58
Dikembe Mutombo	53	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-8	24	12.7	16.6	-3.90	16.4	15.6	0.85
Jason Kidd	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-1	10	13.5	18.3	-4.84	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Lucious Harris	56	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	13.6	15.6	-2.03	15.1	17.3	-2.17
Kenyon Martin	67	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	3	2	13.7	16.3	-2.61	15.6	17.1	-1.43
Aaron Williams	31	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	17.5	13.0	4.56	16.6	15.8	0.80
Kerry Kittles	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	4	0	15.3	13.8	1.44	17.3	15.1	2.17
Anthony Johnson	9	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	16.7	14.2	2.46	17.5	15.9	1.59
Tamar Slay	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	19.8	13.8	5.99	16.6	16.0	0.62
Jason Collins	30	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	15	-22	17.2	13.2	4.08	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Rodney Rogers	37	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	18	-28	17.0	12.8	4.19	15.2	16.6	-1.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	39	40	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-17	26	14.7	17.0	-2.31	14.6	14.3	0.32
Jared Jeffries	22	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	15.3	16.3	-1.01	17.4	13.6	3.77
Christian Laettner	62	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-15	22	14.8	18.5	-3.68	15.3	12.9	2.34
Michael Jordan	57	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	14.8	18.0	-3.18	13.5	16.0	-2.55
Larry Hughes	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.02	-12	4	-16	17.7	14.5	3.24	14.6	14.2	0.39
Brendan Haywood	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	5	-18	18.5	14.8	3.68	13.7	14.8	-1.14
Bryon Russell	58	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	4	-16	16.5	15.3	1.19	15.0	13.5	1.51
Kwame Brown	68	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	4	-16	16.5	14.8	1.71	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Jerry Stackhouse	86	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	16.1	15.2	0.87	13.7	21.2	-7.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.14,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.3%
BOS 86, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	93.4%
POR 89, HOU 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.2%