NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	5.7 [661]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +17.1%
Detroit Pistons	77		Comeback	1.2 [828]		LVP	Brandon Knight (DET): -17.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	7	90%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Tyler Hansbrough	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	61%	0.12	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.01	0.08	16	68%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Hansbrough	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	16	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	7	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	39%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	0.06	15	55%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	7	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	7	27%	-0.07	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.06	0.05	17	41%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.5	17.4	23.4	2.5	26.6	124.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.1%

DET -2.3%

IND +3.6%

DET -14.3%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.4	101.1	88.5	104.1
season	16.1	15.7		102.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	15.3	17.4	19.3	16.2
DET	16.4	16.0	17.8	17.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	56	54	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-8	27	16.0	16.7	-0.73	17.7	15.5	2.12
Paul George	79	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.19	12	-1	13	16.4	14.4	2.06	17.1	15.0	2.10
George Hill	71	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	3	5	16.6	14.6	2.06	16.6	17.8	-1.22
Sam Young	43	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	8	-5	17.2	15.3	1.82	16.8	17.0	-0.18
Tyler Hansbrough	42	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	8	-5	17.6	14.9	2.71	16.5	17.2	-0.73
Gerald Green	51	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	4	3	15.0	17.9	-2.91	16.9	16.8	0.14
Roy Hibbert	31	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	8	-5	14.3	17.3	-3.03	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Ben Hansbrough	17	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	8	-5	15.1	16.5	-1.47	16.8	16.9	-0.02
Jeff Ayres	14	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	11	-11	15.6	16.4	-0.71	18.4	16.6	1.87
Ian Mahinmi	31	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	14	-17	17.0	15.8	1.23	16.0	17.4	-1.39

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	29	30	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-19	27	15.8	17.4	-1.55	16.8	15.9	0.85
Charlie Villanueva	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-10	9	17.0	16.8	0.17	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Andre Drummond	52	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-19	27	16.9	16.7	0.20	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Rodney Stuckey	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-14	17	16.6	17.4	-0.82	16.5	15.8	0.67
Kyle Singler	56	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-1	-9	16.9	16.9	-0.01	16.4	16.0	0.38
Jason Maxiell	44	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	3	-17	16.5	17.2	-0.64	18.0	14.4	3.65
Greg Monroe	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	4	-19	17.0	16.6	0.41	15.5	18.0	-2.51
Brandon Knight	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	4	-19	17.1	16.2	0.90	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Tayshaun Prince	58	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.10	-19	8	-27	17.4	15.8	1.55	15.9	16.8	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.14,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, WAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
LAL 103, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.1,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
SAS 102, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	93.6%