NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	112		Excitement	6.6 [507]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +17.3%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.7 [386]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (TOR): -37.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Orlando Robinson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.08	0.02	9	71%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Duncan Robinson	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	19	55%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	-0.02	0.03	16	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	16	51%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Nikola Jovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.21	-0.00	0.04	13	81%	0.24	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.04	0.05	13	82%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	17	35%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.33,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.18	-0.19	-0.00	18	25%	-0.26	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	26.2	14.5	29.4	1.8	30.0	131.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +34.4%

TOR -1.7%

TOR -6.6%

MIA +23.5%

MIA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	TOR	NBA	MIA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	14.5	113.1	105.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.0		112.3	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		117.6	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.3	14.6	15.2	13.5	14.8
TOR	14.4	14.8	14.8	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duncan Robinson	69	69	0.95	-0.45	1.41	-0.01	33	-24	57	13.6	17.6	-3.98	14.7	13.6	1.12
Orlando Robinson	71	70	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.04	27	-18	45	14.0	16.9	-2.93	14.9	13.1	1.82
Caleb Martin	66	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-8	25	14.4	15.6	-1.21	14.7	13.9	0.81
Jimmy Butler	68	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	4	1	16.0	12.2	3.79	14.6	14.1	0.49
Kyle Lowry	53	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	2	5	16.3	13.2	3.09	15.1	13.6	1.58
Josh Richardson	65	65	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	16	-23	14.2	16.1	-1.92	13.9	15.5	-1.58
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	69	67	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.45	-16	25	-41	14.5	15.6	-1.16	13.6	16.1	-2.52
Nikola Jovic	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	18.2	14.6	3.55	14.2	14.4	-0.26
Kevin Love	28	28	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.20	-18	27	-45	16.9	14.0	2.93	13.1	14.9	-1.82

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	31	31	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.00	14	-23	37	14.3	14.5	-0.22	14.1	15.2	-1.06
Malachi Flynn	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-6	3	14.5	14.4	0.07	11.9	15.4	-3.49
Gary Trent Jr.	52	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.30	7	-16	23	14.2	14.6	-0.42	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Chris Boucher	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-11	13	14.2	14.5	-0.29	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Precious Achiuwa	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-5	1	15.2	14.0	1.19	12.3	15.9	-3.51
Pascal Siakam	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	14.3	14.8	-0.56	15.6	12.9	2.70
Dennis Schroder	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	14.3	14.6	-0.32	15.6	13.0	2.67
Jakob Poeltl	54	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	3	-15	14.2	14.7	-0.54	15.9	13.4	2.45
OG Anunoby	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	0	-9	14.5	14.2	0.28	15.7	11.9	3.75
Scottie Barnes	70	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.05	-25	16	-41	14.7	13.7	1.02	14.3	16.1	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 108, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.02,0	93.3%
POR 98, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.01,0.08,0	92.1%
ATL 102, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	92.1%