NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	6.4 [538]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +10.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.7 [418]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -18.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	19	53%	0.09	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.06
Roshown McLeod	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	18	44%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	6	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	24	50%	0.03	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.04
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	14	45%	-0.08	4	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	13	33%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	28.5	15.3	27.6	2.3	38.5	140.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.6%

ATL +5.1%

ATL +22.3%

ATL +3.2%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.2	105.2	97.9	101.7
season	15.4	14.1		99.3	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.5	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.2	14.7	15.5	16.8	15.1
CLE	16.1	13.5	15.1	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-6	20	14.8	15.7	-0.90	14.1	17.0	-2.94
Bimbo Coles	74	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	15.4	14.0	1.44	14.6	15.4	-0.74
Dikembe Mutombo	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-3	14	14.6	17.7	-3.11	14.8	14.8	-0.06
Jim Jackson	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-4	16	14.5	16.7	-2.15	14.4	15.9	-1.44
Isaiah Rider	79	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	4	0	15.6	12.8	2.79	15.1	13.2	1.85
Roshown McLeod	42	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	8	-8	15.0	15.1	-0.09	14.8	14.8	0.06
Lorenzen Wright	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	11	-14	17.7	14.6	3.11	14.8	14.8	0.06
Jason Terry	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	10	-12	14.0	15.4	-1.44	15.4	14.6	0.74
LaPhonso Ellis	25	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	14	-20	15.7	14.8	0.90	17.0	14.1	2.94

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	49	50	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-12	16	13.7	16.0	-2.33	15.0	15.1	-0.19
Pete Chilcutt	28	30	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-12	16	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Ryan Stack	12	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.5	14.5	1.95	9.4	16.0	-6.65
Andrew DeClercq	36	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-5	2	15.8	14.2	1.58	15.2	15.0	0.18
Danny Ferry	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-6	4	15.0	14.6	0.43	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Mark Bryant	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.2	14.8	0.39
Andre Miller	95	95	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.9	8.0	6.86	15.3	1.0	14.35
Wesley Person	86	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	14.7	15.2	-0.46	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Lamond Murray	72	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.25	-12	4	-16	14.9	14.4	0.56	15.7	13.0	2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 113, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.9%
CLE 102, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
GSW 115, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	93.1%