NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	5.3 [723]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +8.4%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	1.1 [382]		LVP	Danny Manning (PHX): -21.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.01	14	74%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Cedric Henderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	12	65%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Scott Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Dumas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	13	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	16	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	37%	-0.07	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	0.00	13	18%	-0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	23.6	14.8	24.3	2.5	30.3	122.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.5%

CLE +11.1%

CLE +10.8%

PHX -21.6%

CLE +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.6	106.2	89.4	102.5
season	15.4	15.0		99.4	105.3
opponent	15.9	16.0		100.0	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	16.5	13.5	15.0	15.0
PHX	15.5	14.0	15.9	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-2	22	14.5	15.9	-1.37	16.4	13.2	3.14
Cedric Henderson	71	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.17	26	-8	34	14.3	17.1	-2.82	15.6	14.4	1.17
Wesley Person	85	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	1	16	14.3	20.7	-6.43	15.5	13.5	2.00
Shawn Kemp	80	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	0	18	15.3	13.6	1.69	15.3	15.4	-0.18
Brevin Knight	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	2	14	14.0	17.6	-3.51	16.0	13.3	2.73
Derek Anderson	56	53	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	10	-2	15.7	14.1	1.51	14.2	16.7	-2.52
Shawnelle Scott	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	12.7	15.1	-2.44	12.7	15.4	-2.71
Tony Dumas	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	21	-24	20.7	14.6	6.13	15.5	15.3	0.23
Danny Ferry	10	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	22	-26	15.6	15.0	0.63	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Vitaly Potapenko	25	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	25	-32	17.2	14.3	2.93	13.5	15.8	-2.33
Scott Brooks	14	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	21	-24	19.6	14.3	5.32	12.8	15.6	-2.81

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	26	26	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-25	32	14.9	15.4	-0.56	17.3	14.2	3.12
Brooks Thompson	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.7	15.3	-0.56	9.7	15.3	-5.51
Marko Milic	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.7	15.3	-0.56	9.7	15.3	-5.51
Danny Manning	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-22	26	14.3	15.8	-1.51	17.5	13.6	3.86
George McCloud	53	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-14	10	14.1	16.8	-2.69	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Steve Nash	62	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-12	6	14.9	16.1	-1.27	16.0	13.2	2.86
Clifford Robinson	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-9	0	15.3	15.3	0.00	15.3	14.8	0.51
Cedric Ceballos	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-11	4	17.0	14.7	2.30	13.8	15.4	-1.65
Mark Bryant	14	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-10	2	16.2	15.1	1.09	11.6	15.7	-4.07
Rex Chapman	72	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-1	-16	15.6	14.4	1.21	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Antonio McDyess	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.16	-24	6	-30	15.8	14.2	1.57	14.2	16.7	-2.49
Jason Kidd	77	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.09	-24	6	-30	15.7	13.6	2.07	14.9	15.6	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
LAC 113, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.1%
DET 83, IND 65	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%