NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	4.9 [815]		MVP	Jim Jackson (SAC): +14.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	77		Comeback	1.1 [809]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (SEA): -17.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.03	12	78%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	12	73%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	20	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	0.02	0.05	16	37%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.01	-0.02	18	68%	0.17	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	14	33%	-0.09	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	17	33%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	16	32%	-0.11	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	1.8	29.2	18.6	25.1	1.8	33.3	142.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +29.7%

SAC +4.7%

SEA -8.2%

SAC +19.7%

SAC +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.9	15.5	103.3	83.7	101.6
season	14.0	16.5		104.4	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	13.8	14.2	15.2	14.4
SEA	17.4	15.0	17.9	17.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	66	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-1	20	14.6	13.9	0.67	18.1	13.6	4.49
Peja Stojakovic	76	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-1	20	14.4	14.6	-0.19	17.0	16.2	0.79
Mike Bibby	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.13	21	-3	24	14.5	14.1	0.44	17.5	15.2	2.35
Hedo Turkoglu	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	8	2	14.1	15.0	-0.92	17.7	15.1	2.58
Vlade Divac	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-1	20	14.4	14.4	-0.02	17.9	15.4	2.49
Jim Jackson	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	7	4	14.0	14.9	-0.86	15.9	18.1	-2.24
Keon Clark	36	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	19	-20	14.4	14.4	0.02	15.4	17.9	-2.49
Damon Jones	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	21	-24	14.1	14.5	-0.44	15.2	17.5	-2.35
Mateen Cleaves	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	17.0	14.3	2.69	12.0	17.0	-5.01
Gerald Wallace	19	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	22	-26	15.5	14.1	1.35	12.2	18.0	-5.72

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	21	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-19	20	14.6	17.6	-2.96	14.5	14.4	0.19
Calvin Booth	32	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-19	20	15.5	17.6	-2.10	14.7	14.2	0.46
Kenny Anderson	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-7	-4	16.5	17.8	-1.30	14.4	14.4	-0.07
Predrag Drobnjak	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-6	-6	17.2	16.8	0.38	15.3	14.1	1.21
Jerome James	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-11	4	17.8	16.2	1.68	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Ansu Sesay	50	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-4	-10	17.8	15.9	1.88	13.9	15.0	-1.19
Rashard Lewis	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	0	-18	17.1	15.7	1.41	14.8	12.4	2.33
Gary Payton	86	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	0	-18	17.1	14.5	2.57	14.2	16.7	-2.42
Desmond Mason	69	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	-6	-6	16.9	16.9	0.04	14.6	13.9	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
MEM 92, PHX 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
IND 100, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%