NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Excitement	7.1 [378]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +19.5%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.2 [871]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -8.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.02	18	50%	0.23	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	6	85%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.02	21	54%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	61%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	16	62%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.05
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.02	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	13	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	53%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	12	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	36.2	15.8	28.7	2.7	31.6	141.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +4.7%

OKC +27.2%

OKC +15.2%

OKC +0.4%

OKC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.3	118.7	110.9	106.0
season	15.0	15.2		106.2	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	14.8	17.8	17.5	15.9
SAC	15.0	15.2	16.5	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	63	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.30	15	-9	24	16.0	15.5	0.52	16.7	13.2	3.57
Nenad Krstic	55	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	15.3	16.7	-1.39	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Kevin Durant	81	81	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	5	-4	16.2	12.9	3.32	15.2	18.4	-3.12
Russell Westbrook	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	3	0	15.9	15.8	0.06	14.7	17.6	-2.87
Thabo Sefolosha	50	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	1	4	15.0	16.9	-1.90	15.3	16.0	-0.61
Eric Maynor	27	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	3	0	15.8	15.9	-0.06	17.6	14.7	2.87
Nick Collison	43	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	8	-10	16.7	15.1	1.68	16.1	15.1	0.99
Serge Ibaka	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	8	-10	16.2	15.7	0.56	15.9	15.5	0.38
James Harden	39	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	7	-8	15.4	16.2	-0.74	14.5	16.5	-2.00

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	18	19	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.10	9	-15	24	16.2	15.5	0.68	17.5	15.4	2.11
Dominic McGuire	5	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	16.2	15.6	0.61	10.0	16.1	-6.13
Donte Greene	40	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	15.3	15.9	-0.61	15.1	16.4	-1.38
Jason Thompson	57	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-9	12	15.8	15.3	0.54	15.7	16.1	-0.32
Andres Nocioni	21	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.09	-4	-2	-2	15.8	15.6	0.25	15.8	15.9	-0.04
Carl Landry	78	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-8	10	15.4	16.8	-1.38	16.3	13.2	3.12
Francisco Garcia	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	15.3	16.0	-0.73	16.4	15.1	1.29
Beno Udrih	67	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-3	0	15.7	15.4	0.25	16.6	14.1	2.49
Tyreke Evans	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	2	-10	15.4	16.6	-1.17	15.0	20.5	-5.49
Spencer Hawes	46	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	9	-24	16.2	15.0	1.24	15.5	16.2	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0,0.01,0.02,0.09,0	92.6%
POR 89, HOU 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.6%
HOU 93, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.37,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.04,0	92.5%