NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	7.1 [420]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +28.6%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.2 [568]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -16.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2	0.12	0.08	-0.00	9	66%	0.20	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.00	5	75%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Dikembe Mutombo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	2	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	26	39%	-0.02	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	16	45%	-0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	7	31%	-0.07	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.10	0.02	15	77%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	8	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	12	53%	0.07	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.04
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	12	50%	0.02	4	-0.18	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	29.9	15.7	26.3	2.8	44.2	146.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -22.1%

HOU +22.2%

HOU +14.5%

HOU +31.0%

HOU +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.6	102.2	97.8	104.4
season	16.1	15.7		99.9	102.1
opponent	15.4	16.1		108.7	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.9	16.6	13.6	16.7	15.9
NYK	16.6	16.9	15.9	14.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	78	79	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-4	12	15.2	20.1	-4.92	15.5	18.0	-2.54
Stromile Swift	33	34	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	1	2	17.8	14.7	3.12	14.9	16.3	-1.36
David Wesley	74	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	4	-4	15.1	18.9	-3.79	15.5	16.9	-1.39
Rafer Alston	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	-1	6	15.4	18.2	-2.81	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Yao Ming	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	1	2	15.6	16.2	-0.52	16.0	15.5	0.52
Dikembe Mutombo	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	3	-2	16.2	15.6	0.52	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Juwan Howard	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	1	2	15.0	17.3	-2.34	16.5	14.6	1.94
Luther Head	30	29	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	5	-6	19.2	14.2	4.94	17.0	15.2	1.82
Moochie Norris	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	5	-6	15.0	15.9	-0.93	17.0	15.7	1.31
Ryan Bowen	9	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	5	-6	19.6	15.5	4.10	15.6	15.8	-0.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	17	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-3	2	16.6	15.6	0.98	18.5	15.2	3.29
Channing Frye	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-7	10	15.7	15.8	-0.11	17.7	14.6	3.09
Qyntel Woods	46	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-2	0	16.7	14.9	1.79	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Eddy Curry	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-12	20	16.0	15.3	0.76	15.9	15.8	0.11
Jerome James	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	8	-20	15.3	16.0	-0.76	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Jalen Rose	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-4	4	15.5	17.9	-2.37	15.3	20.2	-4.92
Quentin Richardson	47	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-2	0	15.1	16.5	-1.33	16.6	15.2	1.38
Maurice Taylor	55	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	3	-10	15.8	15.7	0.11	15.2	16.8	-1.65
Jamal Crawford	82	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	15.8	16.1	-0.36	15.5	20.3	-4.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.37,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.06,0.05,0	92.9%
LAL 100, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0	92.7%
OKC 108, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.02,0	92.5%