NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	4.3 [291]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (MEM): +13.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	1.0 [255]		LVP	Deni Avdija (POR): -7.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	16	50%	0.12	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.06
Duop Reath	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	6	92%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	11	65%	0.11	6	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Cooke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yang Hansen	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Love	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	55%	0.01	5	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	8	84%	0.16	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.01	0.06	11	76%	0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.03	0.04	8	67%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jahmai Mashack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	57%	0.04	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	10	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Coward	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	12	41%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Zach Edey	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	11	48%	0.03	6	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.7	1.3	27.4	13.7	32.0	1.2	33.9	144.2
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +19.6%

MEM +3.4%

MEM +14.1%

MEM +10.4%

MEM +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	12.9	13.7	14.1	88.1	111.2	113.7
season	13.5	13.7		112.1	110.5
opponent	14.4	13.9		112.8	116.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	11.8	13.9	14.0	12.3	12.9
MEM	13.4	13.3	12.2	16.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yang Hansen	43	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-25	27	13.5	12.6	0.94	14.3	13.3	1.02
Javonte Cooke	27	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.21	-9	-14	5	12.3	13.2	-0.91	16.2	13.0	3.24
Deni Avdija	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.12	-17	-6	-11	13.2	12.3	0.84	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Rayan Rupert	59	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.44	-31	8	-39	13.1	12.8	0.23	14.5	12.9	1.61
Duop Reath	91	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.27	-25	2	-27	13.1	12.1	1.07	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Toumani Camara	88	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.26	-25	2	-27	13.3	11.4	1.88	13.3	15.6	-2.35
Kris Murray	97	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	2	-27	12.8	14.4	-1.65	13.8	13.2	0.61
Caleb Love	98	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.22	-24	1	-25	13.2	11.0	2.16	13.8	12.8	0.97
Sidy Cissoko	91	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.32	-28	5	-33	13.0	12.7	0.27	13.9	12.9	0.90
Shaedon Sharpe	103	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	1	-25	12.9	14.3	-1.47	13.5	16.2	-2.62
Jerami Grant	103	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	1	-25	12.9	14.3	-1.47	13.5	16.2	-2.62

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Coward	107	109	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	0	23	13.7	0.0	13.69	12.9	0.0	12.94
Cam Spencer	100	102	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	-1	25	13.9	10.6	3.34	13.0	12.7	0.25
Jock Landale	93	95	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-2	27	13.6	14.5	-0.93	13.1	11.8	1.33
Santi Aldama	95	97	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	-2	27	13.8	12.7	1.06	12.8	14.4	-1.65
Jaren Jackson Jr.	95	95	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	10	3	13.5	15.3	-1.85	13.1	12.0	1.08
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	90	91	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-2	27	13.6	14.4	-0.86	13.0	12.5	0.53
John Konchar	86	89	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	0	23	13.9	12.8	1.16	13.0	12.6	0.42
Jaylen Wells	82	83	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	5	13	13.8	13.3	0.54	13.3	12.0	1.29
Zach Edey	74	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	16	-9	13.8	13.5	0.26	12.6	13.7	-1.06
Vince Williams Jr.	66	64	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	19	-15	13.6	13.9	-0.26	12.7	13.3	-0.62
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	24	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.21	9	14	-5	16.2	13.0	3.24	12.3	13.2	-0.91
Jahmai Mashack	24	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.21	9	14	-5	16.2	13.0	3.24	12.3	13.2	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, LAL 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.75,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	95.9%
LAC 108, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1	95.7%
DAL 106, MEM 120	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%