NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	3.3 [1127]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +13.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	120		Comeback	1.0 [1068]		LVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): -10.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	15	58%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Naji Marshall	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	7	81%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	-0.00	0.10	29	61%	0.07	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Max Christie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	7	79%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	12	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.06	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.00	0.02	18	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	9	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	67%	0.10	6	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	24	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.6	27.6	16.3	24.3	2.7	37.3	139.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.2%

MEM +2.4%

MEM +13.0%

MEM +1.4%

DAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.8	14.7	14.4	106.0	117.6	113.0
season	14.3	13.3		113.3	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.3	14.5	13.6	11.7	13.8
MEM	11.9	14.9	15.2	17.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	10	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-11	8	16.1	13.5	2.57	9.3	15.2	-5.90
Brandon Williams	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-18	22	12.6	14.8	-2.24	16.7	13.1	3.61
Caleb Martin	20	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-16	18	12.7	14.1	-1.36	15.1	14.6	0.54
Daniel Gafford	35	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-20	26	12.7	14.4	-1.65	16.4	13.8	2.54
P.J. Washington	59	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.19	-12	-2	-10	14.3	13.0	1.26	13.5	16.4	-2.90
Klay Thompson	68	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-3	-8	13.6	14.1	-0.49	15.4	13.4	1.96
Dereck Lively II	44	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-5	-4	13.3	14.1	-0.80	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Max Christie	42	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-10	6	14.0	13.7	0.28	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Dante Exum	24	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	15.8	13.1	2.69	15.1	14.6	0.54
Naji Marshall	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	0	-14	13.8	13.7	0.08	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Anthony Davis	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	4	-22	14.2	12.1	2.08	14.3	16.2	-1.94

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	48	49	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-4	22	14.3	15.1	-0.84	15.3	12.4	2.93
Jaren Jackson Jr.	77	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	1	12	15.3	13.0	2.33	13.5	14.5	-0.96
Desmond Bane	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	-3	20	13.8	17.1	-3.29	14.3	12.4	1.94
Ja Morant	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	2	10	14.6	14.9	-0.28	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Santi Aldama	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	2	10	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.5	12.7	1.84
Zach Edey	70	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.11	13	1	12	14.2	15.9	-1.69	14.1	13.2	0.93
Marvin Bagley III	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	14	-14	15.9	14.2	1.69	13.2	14.1	-0.93
Scotty Pippen Jr.	65	60	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	9	-4	15.7	13.0	2.69	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Vince Williams Jr.	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	13.5	14.8	-1.27	8.0	14.0	-6.03
Jay Huff	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	13.5	14.8	-1.27	8.0	14.0	-6.03
GG Jackson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	13.5	14.8	-1.27	8.0	14.0	-6.03
Lamar Stevens	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	13.5	14.8	-1.27	8.0	14.0	-6.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, DEN 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
GSW 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 108, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1	95.8%