inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Vancouver Grizzlies 97 Excitement2.5 [1189] MVPNick Van Exel (DEN): +8.6%
Denver Nuggets 121 Comeback1.0 [1153] LVPMike Bibby (VAN): -6.4%


Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryant Reeves0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.011161%0.0500.001100%0.01
Michael Dickerson0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.011453%0.031-0.02683%0.01
Brent Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Edwards-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.031953%0.001-0.01786%0.00
Damon Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.08518%-0.032-0.0010%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.000.000.031162%0.013-0.03250%0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04632%-0.0400.00757%-0.01
Ike Austin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.04320%-0.0500.00450%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.140.00-0.081323%-0.042-0.0300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.041275%0.111-0.024100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.001559%0.0800.004100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04686%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03750%0.0300.006100%0.02
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.01-0.05954%0.042-0.02667%-0.01
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.001057%0.032-0.021100%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.03940%0.0100.002100%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03370%0.0000.004100%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Garth Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.0820%-0.0010.0020%0.00
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04540%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.04956%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.828.315.627.21.731.0129.8
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.4%
DEN +6.9%
DEN +4.8%
VAN -1.1%
DEN +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsVANDENNBAVANDENNBA
this game14.414.615.597.0122.2100.9
season15.615.297.4101.4
opponent15.215.1104.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
VAN16.314.512.814.014.4
DEN13.714.915.514.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Massenburg10100.00-0.500.500.15-5-191412.114.6-2.5313.314.7-1.41
Brent Price1415-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-232212.114.8-2.6814.114.7-0.59
Kevin Edwards1415-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-232212.114.8-2.6814.114.7-0.59
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf77-0.13-0.370.250.05-6-181219.014.04.9712.414.7-2.30
Stromile Swift5354-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-201614.614.10.4814.514.6-0.14
Ike Austin3131-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-13214.814.20.5715.214.30.91
Damon Jones4242-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-14-10-415.013.91.1514.015.0-1.02
Bryant Reeves5958-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.05-8-16814.614.10.4414.414.7-0.28
Othella Harrington4342-0.30-0.20-0.110.28-20-4-1613.714.9-1.2815.114.11.00
Mike Bibby7170-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-10-414.214.9-0.7314.814.00.75
Michael Dickerson7977-0.37-0.13-0.250.13-17-7-1014.414.4-0.0014.913.51.31
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7774-0.40-0.10-0.300.16-19-5-1414.912.72.1914.514.7-0.21

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey60610.420.080.340.011410414.414.7-0.2915.412.72.72
Nick Van Exel58600.400.100.30-0.161951414.614.50.0514.414.4-0.03
Antonio McDyess58600.400.100.30-0.161951414.614.50.0514.414.4-0.03
Voshon Lenard50520.350.150.21-0.09159614.614.50.0715.113.61.57
Raef LaFrentz43440.320.180.14-0.061311214.114.9-0.8415.713.32.37
Kevin Willis42430.180.32-0.14-0.121014-415.314.11.2113.415.1-1.65
George McCloud43430.170.33-0.16-0.03717-1015.513.81.7113.814.8-0.95
Robert Pack49480.150.35-0.21-0.12915-614.514.6-0.0713.615.1-1.57
Mark Strickland42410.090.41-0.330.03222-2014.214.8-0.6514.214.5-0.31
Tariq Abdul-Wahad26250.020.48-0.46-0.16618-1214.214.7-0.4514.014.5-0.51
Garth Joseph14130.000.50-0.50-0.03123-2213.914.7-0.7413.014.6-1.59
Ryan Bowen10100.000.50-0.50-0.15519-1413.314.7-1.4112.114.6-2.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 90, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
NYK 79, MIL 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,196.7%
BOS 88, WAS 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%