NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	2.1 [1277]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): +12.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	1.0 [1149]		LVP	Shane Larkin (NYK): -7.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	48%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	8	68%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.04	8	-0.07	12	83%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	9	28%	-0.03	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	14	73%	0.12	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	62%	0.09	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	71%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	46%	-0.01	3	-0.01	8	87%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.10	6	6%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	35.7	15.7	25.3	2.8	28.3	136.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.8%

MIL +2.7%

MIL +8.0%

MIL +10.7%

MIL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.1	84.9	102.2	104.2
season	16.1	14.5		98.5	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		101.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	16.6	16.0	16.5	16.2
MIL	13.4	14.1	14.0	17.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	38	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.23	5	-21	26	15.8	16.5	-0.69	15.9	13.9	2.07
Quincy Acy	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-11	6	13.8	16.5	-2.74	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Lance Thomas	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-14	12	16.5	16.1	0.47	14.9	14.6	0.31
Pablo Prigioni	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-10	4	18.1	16.1	2.05	14.2	14.8	-0.55
Lou Amundson	29	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-20	24	17.0	15.9	1.04	16.7	13.8	2.92
Cole Aldrich	30	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-9	2	15.6	16.6	-0.96	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Tim Hardaway Jr.	48	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-9	2	16.6	15.9	0.74	14.8	14.6	0.18
Jason Smith	30	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.16	-13	-3	-10	16.5	16.1	0.32	13.2	15.4	-2.15
Amar'e Stoudemire	16	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-4	-8	17.1	16.1	0.98	14.5	14.8	-0.27
Langston Galloway	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-10	4	15.9	16.6	-0.71	15.3	13.9	1.40
Jose Calderon	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-20	24	15.9	17.3	-1.40	14.9	14.2	0.64
Shane Larkin	37	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	0	-16	16.9	15.8	1.03	14.8	14.7	0.15
Carmelo Anthony	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	3	-22	16.1	16.5	-0.38	13.7	16.4	-2.72

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.33	25	-9	34	14.2	15.5	-1.27	16.0	16.6	-0.52
Brandon Knight	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.19	20	-4	24	14.4	15.5	-1.05	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Khris Middleton	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	-3	22	14.3	15.6	-1.28	16.2	16.2	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	7	2	15.9	13.6	2.30	16.9	15.7	1.21
Giannis Antetokounmpo	66	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	2	12	14.1	16.1	-2.01	15.9	17.1	-1.22
Johnny O'Bryant	20	20	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.13	12	4	8	13.4	15.1	-1.62	18.1	15.7	2.36
Jared Dudley	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	15	-14	15.2	14.4	0.81	16.1	16.4	-0.33
Jerryd Bayless	34	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	22	-28	15.1	14.5	0.53	15.5	16.7	-1.26
Kendall Marshall	7	6	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	13	-10	14.6	14.7	-0.16	21.0	15.9	5.08
John Henson	32	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	21	-26	15.0	14.6	0.43	16.9	15.9	1.02
Ersan Ilyasova	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.32	-8	24	-32	15.7	14.4	1.39	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Kenyon Martin	4	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	20	-24	19.5	14.5	4.99	12.7	16.4	-3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, PHI 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
WAS 101, NJN 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	97.5%
CHI 70, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%