NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	88		Excitement	1.6 [1252]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +24.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	1.0 [934]		LVP	Chris Childs (TOR): -3.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	41%	0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	71%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	11	59%	0.01	6	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.39	0.01	0.16	32	79%	0.25	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	7	70%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	14	63%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.7	27.7	20.7	30.3	2.8	30.3	142.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.6%

PHI +5.6%

PHI +2.2%

PHI +9.3%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	17.5	15.5	102.3	140.7	100.9
season	15.8	15.7		103.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	16.3	15.8	16.6	15.9
PHI	16.1	19.7	16.9	17.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	32	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.16	-6	-27	21	15.2	16.4	-1.10	17.8	17.4	0.36
Dell Curry	31	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.33	-14	-19	5	16.2	15.8	0.44	17.3	17.7	-0.35
Morris Peterson	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-27	21	14.9	16.4	-1.59	18.1	17.3	0.88
Eric Montross	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.30	-17	-16	-1	16.5	15.6	0.95	17.6	17.5	0.05
Keon Clark	38	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-21	9	15.2	16.5	-1.31	18.7	16.7	2.02
Charles Oakley	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.37	-22	-11	-11	17.6	14.7	3.00	16.3	18.5	-2.19
Antonio Davis	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-19	5	15.8	16.2	-0.44	18.0	16.8	1.20
Chris Childs	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.38	-25	-8	-17	16.3	15.0	1.29	17.2	18.4	-1.15
Alvin Williams	56	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	-14	-5	15.5	16.7	-1.16	17.4	17.9	-0.52
Vince Carter	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.40	-30	-3	-27	15.9	16.0	-0.08	17.4	17.9	-0.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.39	30	3	27	18.1	12.9	5.20	16.0	15.7	0.31
Dikembe Mutombo	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.50	33	0	33	17.7	16.8	0.90	16.5	13.3	3.16
Tyrone Hill	59	61	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.40	28	5	23	17.6	17.4	0.20	16.4	14.8	1.55
Aaron McKie	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.55	30	3	27	17.1	19.0	-1.87	16.5	14.1	2.40
Jumaine Jones	47	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.31	19	14	5	16.6	18.7	-2.05	16.1	15.7	0.40
Eric Snow	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.19	14	19	-5	18.4	16.8	1.64	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Rodney Buford	24	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	27	-21	18.2	17.3	0.92	14.3	16.6	-2.34
Todd MacCulloch	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	28	-23	19.6	17.0	2.54	15.6	16.0	-0.37
Kevin Ollie	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	33	-33	15.5	18.3	-2.81	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Raja Bell	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	33	-33	13.3	17.9	-4.53	13.7	16.1	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
MIN 86, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
NYK 79, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.8%