NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	2.0 [1293]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +5.7%
New Jersey Nets	109		Comeback	1.0 [1280]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -7.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	8	64%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	14	55%	0.00	4	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	26	58%	0.11	4	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	22	54%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	5	82%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.11	9	33%	0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.5	15.4	26.3	2.4	27.3	127.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.5%

NJN +3.8%

NJN +5.7%

NJN +8.3%

NJN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.4	16.8	15.5	108.6	118.5	104.0
season	14.7	16.0		104.7	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	16.2	12.2	13.9	14.4
NJN	14.0	17.3	16.6	19.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	22	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.42	14	-22	36	13.9	14.5	-0.58	19.7	15.9	3.78
Laron Profit	22	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.42	14	-22	36	13.9	14.5	-0.58	19.7	15.9	3.78
Anthony Peeler	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-11	14	15.5	13.8	1.69	17.7	16.4	1.32
Juan Dixon	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.26	5	-13	18	16.6	13.6	2.94	17.4	16.6	0.86
Jared Jeffries	15	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	2	-12	14.5	14.3	0.21	15.9	16.9	-1.02
Etan Thomas	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.45	9	-17	26	15.0	13.5	1.50	17.0	16.6	0.39
Brendan Haywood	51	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	1	-10	13.1	15.9	-2.87	17.1	16.5	0.60
Kwame Brown	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	14.8	13.2	1.56	16.6	17.2	-0.56
Gilbert Arenas	62	62	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	13	-34	13.7	15.6	-1.89	15.9	18.7	-2.78
Larry Hughes	68	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	11	-30	14.2	14.7	-0.44	15.9	19.3	-3.41
Antawn Jamison	52	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.15	-20	12	-32	14.0	14.8	-0.80	16.0	18.0	-2.01

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	-5	18	16.9	16.5	0.34	14.4	14.2	0.13
Jason Kidd	84	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-5	18	16.5	20.4	-3.92	14.4	13.8	0.64
Vince Carter	71	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	2	4	17.0	16.2	0.72	13.8	16.6	-2.80
Brian Scalabrine	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	0	8	16.1	18.3	-2.22	13.6	15.9	-2.33
Jason Collins	59	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	1	6	16.4	17.6	-1.22	14.0	15.0	-1.03
Clifford Robinson	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	17.0	16.6	0.32	15.4	13.4	1.94
Travis Best	28	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	4	0	17.6	16.4	1.22	16.1	13.7	2.42
Zoran Planinic	36	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.42	-12	20	-32	18.6	15.7	2.89	14.6	14.2	0.49
Rodney Buford	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	4.0	16.9	-12.93	16.0	14.3	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 63, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
SEA 87, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
TOR 88, PHI 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%