NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	87		Excitement	1.6 [1319]		MVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): +6.4%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	1.0 [1279]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -10.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	10	77%	0.02	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Noel Felix	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	39%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.01	3	-0.02	6	100%	-0.00
Robert Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	58%	0.01	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	7	60%	-0.03	3	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	13	30%	-0.09	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	7	87%	0.08	2	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.09	10	70%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.18	0.00	0.15	14	74%	0.04	2	-0.01	11	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	73%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	86%	-0.00	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	29.3	16.4	26.6	2.5	33.2	134.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.2%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +1.7%

HOU +2.8%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	15.6	91.6	122.3	104.4
season	15.0	16.1		108.9	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.8		101.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.3	19.1	15.9	13.7	16.3
HOU	11.8	12.8	15.4	16.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noel Felix	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-24	20	15.2	16.7	-1.51	15.2	13.8	1.44
Mike Wilks	39	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-32	36	15.3	16.9	-1.60	16.9	12.1	4.76
Robert Swift	30	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-26	24	14.4	17.2	-2.79	16.1	13.2	2.93
Earl Watson	53	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.17	1	-29	30	17.2	15.1	2.15	15.8	12.1	3.68
Mikki Moore	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.36	-20	-8	-12	15.9	16.5	-0.57	12.9	15.0	-2.10
Chris Wilcox	59	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-20	12	16.5	15.9	0.57	15.0	12.9	2.10
Johan Petro	65	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.40	-26	-2	-24	17.2	14.4	2.79	13.2	16.1	-2.93
Damien Wilkins	61	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	-5	-18	15.7	17.2	-1.50	13.4	15.5	-2.15
Ray Allen	51	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.45	-30	2	-32	16.5	16.0	0.43	12.9	15.6	-2.74
Luke Ridnour	56	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.51	-32	4	-36	16.9	15.3	1.60	12.1	16.9	-4.76

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	83	84	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	2	24	14.0	16.0	-2.05	16.3	15.7	0.62
Yao Ming	60	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.42	29	-1	30	13.4	15.6	-2.23	15.8	17.2	-1.47
Keith Bogans	56	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	12	4	14.0	14.4	-0.43	17.3	14.6	2.75
Rafer Alston	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	14	0	14.3	13.9	0.43	17.1	14.4	2.72
Juwan Howard	48	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	14	0	13.5	14.9	-1.37	16.8	15.6	1.20
Stromile Swift	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.23	13	15	-2	14.4	14.1	0.32	16.9	15.9	1.01
Rick Brunson	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.30	14	14	0	13.9	14.3	-0.43	14.4	17.1	-2.72
Richie Frahm	43	42	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.31	14	14	0	14.4	14.0	0.46	15.2	17.1	-1.94
Dikembe Mutombo	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	28	-28	12.7	14.4	-1.67	26.2	15.2	10.99
Charles Hayes	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	29	-30	16.8	13.3	3.55	13.7	17.1	-3.34
Ryan Bowen	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	17.3	14.0	3.36	11.1	16.7	-5.54
Maciej Lampe	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	16.7	13.9	2.81	12.1	16.7	-4.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 67, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
CHA 90, MIA 129	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
IND 89, NYK 132	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%