NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	1.7 [1306]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +10.1%
New York Knicks	132		Comeback	1.0 [1259]		LVP	Earl Watson (IND): -7.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	15	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.05	6	86%	0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.15	0.00	-0.13	13	21%	-0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	12	37%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	61%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	9	91%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.21	0.00	0.14	8	112%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	15	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	70%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	11	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	25.6	17.6	24.8	1.6	25.4	120.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.1%

NYK +8.1%

NYK +6.9%

NYK +7.0%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	15.3	87.3	130.7	106.0
season	14.2	14.7		102.2	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	13.7	14.8	13.1	14.0
NYK	13.8	14.0	14.0	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-38	33	13.5	14.1	-0.68	14.5	14.3	0.20
A.J. Price	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.57	-25	-18	-7	12.5	15.3	-2.78	14.3	14.5	-0.22
Solomon Jones	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.80	-33	-10	-23	13.2	14.8	-1.67	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Brandon Rush	67	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.88	-38	-5	-33	13.8	14.3	-0.54	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Josh McRoberts	41	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-28	13	15.0	13.3	1.77	13.5	15.0	-1.52
Dahntay Jones	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.44	-24	-19	-5	13.4	15.1	-1.67	15.1	12.9	2.24
Mike Dunleavy	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.20	-16	-27	11	14.1	13.9	0.15	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Roy Hibbert	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-33	23	14.8	13.2	1.67	14.7	14.0	0.73
Luther Head	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-24	5	14.6	12.9	1.72	14.8	13.8	1.00
Earl Watson	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.47	-30	-13	-17	14.7	12.9	1.82	14.3	14.4	-0.11

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.50	32	11	21	14.2	14.7	-0.51	14.2	13.7	0.54
Wilson Chandler	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.92	46	-3	49	13.8	15.3	-1.53	14.7	12.8	1.85
David Lee	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.92	46	-3	49	13.8	15.3	-1.53	14.7	12.8	1.85
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.60	35	8	27	14.7	13.8	0.87	14.3	13.5	0.74
Chris Duhon	52	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.79	39	4	35	14.5	14.3	0.23	14.9	13.1	1.79
Al Harrington	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.15	10	33	-23	14.1	14.5	-0.43	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Nate Robinson	49	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	39	-35	14.3	14.5	-0.23	13.1	14.9	-1.79
Jonathan Bender	52	53	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	38	-33	14.2	14.6	-0.32	13.5	14.5	-0.92
Toney Douglas	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	45	-47	15.7	14.0	1.72	13.1	14.3	-1.15
Jordan Hill	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	45	-47	15.7	14.0	1.72	13.1	14.3	-1.15
Marcus Landry	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	41	-39	15.3	14.2	1.14	12.6	14.3	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 74, POR 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.5%
SEA 87, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DET 86, MIL 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%