inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 86 Excitement1.9 [1292] MVPBrook Lopez (MIL): +9.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 121 Comeback1.0 [1297] LVPLangston Galloway (DET): -5.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Kennard0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.000.031470%0.0720.00250%-0.00
Andre Drummond0.020,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.01-0.05950%0.033-0.01667%-0.01
Reggie Jackson0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.031443%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01240%0.0000.0010%0.00
Khyri Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07675%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson III-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04533%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
Bruce Brown-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00250%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02636%-0.0310.00250%0.00
Ish Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03633%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.050,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.031025%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Thon Maker-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.031020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.030.000.02837%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brook Lopez0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.02778%0.0900.004100%0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.01-0.031752%0.081-0.001242%-0.04
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.02677%0.082-0.011100%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.031164%0.0500.003100%0.01
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.110.000.07592%0.0500.002100%0.01
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.041354%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.100.000.08968%0.0100.00475%-0.01
D.J. Wilson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02560%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05570%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.0640%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.140.00-0.10825%-0.024-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.12.730.516.327.62.826.0134.0
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +35.9%
MIL +6.6%
MIL +2.5%
MIL +3.6%
MIL +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game14.114.014.383.5118.6109.3
season15.313.5107.5112.4
opponent14.314.0104.0109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.913.915.312.414.1
MIL11.813.214.116.914.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Leuer10100.00-0.500.50-0.031-363711.314.5-3.1516.613.72.94
Khyri Thomas17180.00-0.500.50-0.186-414712.414.5-2.0817.913.14.78
Jose Calderon880.00-0.500.50-0.031-363710.614.4-3.8215.413.81.55
Zaza Pachulia3838-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-384112.715.0-2.3215.513.02.47
Ish Smith4847-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-343313.414.8-1.3715.512.62.93
Langston Galloway5050-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-312713.115.1-2.0315.512.53.00
Glenn Robinson III4241-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-251513.414.6-1.2114.613.51.06
Luke Kennard5957-0.21-0.290.080.06-9-261713.714.8-1.0915.012.62.34
Bruce Brown2727-0.24-0.260.030.50-25-10-1516.513.33.2210.915.0-4.11
Thon Maker4947-0.27-0.23-0.050.19-16-19314.813.51.3212.615.1-2.55
Reggie Jackson4747-0.39-0.11-0.280.64-350-3515.513.02.4712.115.5-3.38
Wayne Ellington6363-0.40-0.10-0.310.80-416-4715.012.82.1612.716.0-3.32
Andre Drummond5757-0.46-0.04-0.420.86-4510-5515.412.62.8612.416.0-3.63

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brook Lopez53520.430.070.36-0.603503512.315.8-3.4715.612.63.01
Sterling Brown53550.390.110.28-0.7238-34112.415.6-3.1615.113.11.99
Khris Middleton55550.390.110.27-0.553232912.615.6-2.9715.213.02.18
Giannis Antetokounmpo53540.330.170.17-0.553052512.515.6-3.1214.813.41.37
Eric Bledsoe53540.300.200.11-0.4325101513.114.9-1.8614.713.51.17
George Hill48500.270.230.030.00926-1715.212.82.3714.214.10.14
Ersan Ilyasova48490.170.33-0.160.05431-2714.613.41.1613.314.9-1.68
Pat Connaughton61610.150.35-0.190.04431-2714.613.01.5512.816.0-3.21
Nikola Mirotic31310.060.44-0.37-0.05431-2715.713.22.4812.614.8-2.19
D.J. Wilson30300.000.50-0.490.15-540-4517.812.35.4512.814.7-1.90
Tim Frazier25240.000.50-0.500.03-136-3716.913.03.9312.414.7-2.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 85, SEA 1140.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
IND 89, NYK 1320.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
SEA 87, HOU 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%