inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 74 Excitement1.7 [1304] MVPBrandon Roy (POR): +6.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 116 Comeback1.0 [1109] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -4.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andres Nocioni0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.041346%0.022-0.00250%-0.00
Joakim Noah0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cedric Simmons-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01337%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Larry Hughes-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02850%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02664%0.002-0.02250%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.00-0.09932%-0.013-0.01475%-0.00
Aaron Gray-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04520%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.10-0.00-0.0840%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03950%0.004-0.03475%-0.01
Ben Gordon-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.031241%-0.012-0.023100%-0.00
Derrick Rose-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.110.00-0.08830%0.003-0.044100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.031362%0.061-0.006100%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.140.000.086100%0.0600.002100%0.01
Steve Blake0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.01-0.07953%0.063-0.021100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01664%0.041-0.00250%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.01756%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02860%0.0110.00475%-0.00
Greg Oden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.02755%0.0100.00683%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06125%0.0020.00250%0.00
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06387%0.0000.00250%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.07570%-0.0160.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.021337%-0.031-0.01475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.534.317.729.41.828.8142.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +20.9%
POR +4.4%
POR +7.6%
POR +11.1%
POR +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIPORNBACHIPORNBA
this game15.015.515.577.9123.4106.4
season14.816.7106.3111.0
opponent16.015.7105.8107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.715.114.715.315.0
POR17.315.514.115.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cedric Simmons18180.00-0.500.51-0.062-444613.815.2-1.4015.515.5-0.01
Lindsey Hunter3636-0.06-0.440.380.23-10-322214.615.2-0.6215.315.6-0.29
Andres Nocioni5352-0.08-0.420.330.09-6-363014.715.3-0.6514.816.4-1.53
Thabo Sefolosha3939-0.12-0.380.270.24-12-301814.415.4-0.9916.614.71.84
Tyrus Thomas4342-0.14-0.360.220.42-19-23415.514.50.9515.615.50.11
Joakim Noah3033-0.22-0.280.070.20-14-281415.914.51.3616.814.82.01
Aaron Gray4440-0.25-0.250.000.48-25-17-814.615.3-0.7514.616.1-1.50
Larry Hughes4241-0.34-0.16-0.190.42-26-16-1015.014.90.1415.815.30.48
Drew Gooden5252-0.41-0.09-0.310.56-33-9-2414.715.3-0.5315.016.1-1.14
Derrick Rose5958-0.44-0.06-0.380.50-32-10-2215.214.60.6215.615.30.29
Ben Gordon5959-0.45-0.05-0.400.57-35-7-2815.614.01.5615.515.6-0.10

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake47470.430.070.37-0.302517816.114.91.2815.514.50.99
LaMarcus Aldridge52510.420.080.34-0.693843414.816.3-1.4915.314.60.75
Brandon Roy57560.390.110.29-0.3726161014.816.6-1.7415.214.60.69
Joel Przybilla46460.360.140.22-0.643482614.716.3-1.6815.514.51.03
Travis Outlaw47470.210.29-0.08-0.522517816.214.81.3615.214.70.48
Nicolas Batum36370.210.29-0.08-0.06933-2415.815.30.4314.015.6-1.63
Rudy Fernandez34350.190.31-0.12-0.542517816.315.01.2715.914.41.41
Greg Oden32340.140.36-0.23-0.13933-2416.914.82.1214.915.0-0.13
Channing Frye42440.080.42-0.34-0.04438-3416.314.81.4914.615.3-0.75
Sergio Rodriguez47480.070.43-0.37-0.431725-814.916.1-1.2814.515.5-0.99
Jerryd Bayless15150.000.50-0.500.03-143-4414.315.7-1.4013.515.2-1.70
Ike Diogu15150.000.50-0.500.03-143-4414.315.7-1.4013.515.2-1.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 89, NYK 1320.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.5%
GSW 84, DEN 1230.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
SEA 87, HOU 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%