inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 84 Excitement1.6 [1063] MVPKenneth Faried (DEN): +12.1%
Denver Nuggets 123 Comeback1.0 [1002] LVPRichard Jefferson (GSW): -4.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Jenkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.02740%0.0200.0010%0.00
Dorell Wright0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01850%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.080.000.071173%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Rush0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01550%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dominic McGuire0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02475%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Mickell Gladness0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05325%0.0010.002100%0.00
Chris Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.002100%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.051359%-0.002-0.013100%0.00
Jeremy Tyler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.05525%-0.021-0.00250%0.00
David Lee-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.130.00-0.091529%-0.013-0.03450%-0.02
Richard Jefferson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.01939%-0.041-0.0100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.160.010.051869%0.121-0.003100%0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01771%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.01-0.041450%0.043-0.012100%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02771%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.001154%0.022-0.01683%0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02460%0.032-0.012100%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022100%0.0020.002100%0.00
Julyan Stone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.011046%-0.011-0.00837%-0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.100.000.126100%0.002-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.723.315.325.52.629.5123.0
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +19.1%
DEN +9.7%
DEN +12.3%
DEN +3.3%
DEN +5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game15.014.715.686.6126.8102.8
season15.214.5103.6107.5
opponent15.815.4104.5106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW17.115.814.613.015.0
DEN14.215.515.413.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Wright21200.00-0.500.500.18-6-332712.215.8-3.5611.715.4-3.73
Mickell Gladness2928-0.01-0.490.470.19-7-322513.315.8-2.4512.815.4-2.58
Dominic McGuire3333-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-434717.114.03.1714.814.60.24
Andris Biedrins3131-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-342916.914.12.8014.914.50.36
Richard Jefferson3838-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-312316.714.02.7214.414.8-0.48
Nate Robinson3635-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-373516.914.02.9115.314.30.98
Brandon Rush4545-0.23-0.270.030.18-14-251116.713.63.1314.714.60.14
Jeremy Tyler4747-0.30-0.20-0.110.46-26-13-1313.416.6-3.2414.315.0-0.70
Charles Jenkins6162-0.35-0.15-0.200.74-37-2-3514.016.9-2.9114.315.3-0.98
Dorell Wright3739-0.36-0.14-0.220.37-25-14-1114.915.1-0.1816.513.43.01
Klay Thompson6161-0.36-0.14-0.220.61-33-6-2713.817.1-3.3114.714.60.12
David Lee4646-0.43-0.07-0.370.62-36-3-3315.015.0-0.0215.713.72.05

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried48460.450.050.40-0.523362716.213.13.1515.015.1-0.14
Arron Afflalo70690.450.050.40-0.523362715.313.02.2516.012.63.36
Danilo Gallinari59580.410.090.32-0.3225141115.114.01.0815.813.91.90
Kosta Koufos34330.350.150.19-0.4828111715.614.11.5214.515.3-0.83
Ty Lawson41410.320.180.15-0.593182315.613.91.6914.915.1-0.26
Andre Miller51520.250.250.00-0.221623-714.614.7-0.0717.112.74.37
Al Harrington23250.140.36-0.22-0.01534-2914.414.7-0.3515.914.71.20
Corey Brewer47450.090.41-0.32-0.06534-2914.414.9-0.5814.215.7-1.55
JaVale McGee46480.040.46-0.42-0.02237-3513.615.6-1.9615.214.90.35
Julyan Stone27270.000.50-0.50-0.20732-2513.715.0-1.3813.015.8-2.81
Jordan Hamilton20210.000.50-0.50-0.18633-2711.715.4-3.7312.215.8-3.56
Timofey Mozgov19200.000.50-0.50-0.12435-3111.315.5-4.1611.615.9-4.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 74, POR 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
ORL 79, MIA 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
PHX 91, SAS 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%