NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	1.9 [1053]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +11.7%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.0 [1028]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): -3.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	21	46%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	38%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	12	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.00	-0.04	14	66%	0.13	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	6	108%	0.09	3	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	10	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.11	7	45%	0.04	4	-0.01	6	67%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	7	50%	0.01	4	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	47%	0.01	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	30.0	17.8	25.0	1.8	32.2	134.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +46.2%

SAS +3.9%

SAS +2.4%

PHX -4.6%

SAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	15.6	91.9	107.1	102.8
season	15.0	15.3		104.7	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	16.6	17.0	13.1	15.3
SAS	14.2	13.4	14.1	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-24	34	11.3	16.2	-4.99	14.4	13.8	0.60
Josh Childress	46	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.47	15	-29	44	14.4	16.1	-1.64	14.0	13.9	0.04
Ronnie Price	43	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-21	28	13.7	16.5	-2.74	13.2	14.5	-1.25
Robin Lopez	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-17	20	16.4	14.7	1.69	15.0	13.3	1.70
Markieff Morris	64	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.47	11	-25	36	15.0	15.9	-0.92	14.2	13.4	0.84
Michael Redd	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-13	12	16.3	14.8	1.47	15.2	13.3	1.85
Grant Hill	15	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-7	0	15.3	15.3	-0.03	15.9	13.6	2.24
Sebastian Telfair	63	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-18	22	15.5	14.9	0.55	14.5	12.9	1.62
Steve Nash	13	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.23	-17	3	-20	14.8	15.4	-0.51	13.6	14.0	-0.37
Shannon Brown	37	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.35	-23	9	-32	16.2	14.8	1.39	12.8	14.6	-1.73
Jared Dudley	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.26	-20	6	-26	16.1	14.6	1.47	13.3	14.5	-1.28
Channing Frye	35	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.38	-25	11	-36	15.9	15.0	0.92	13.4	14.2	-0.84
Marcin Gortat	43	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.40	-27	13	-40	16.2	14.6	1.54	12.8	14.8	-2.02

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	49	49	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.44	31	-17	48	13.4	14.5	-1.14	16.2	14.4	1.72
Tony Parker	44	44	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.35	27	-13	40	13.1	14.6	-1.50	15.9	14.8	1.11
DeJuan Blair	44	47	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.32	25	-11	36	13.8	14.1	-0.30	16.7	14.0	2.64
Kawhi Leonard	47	48	0.41	0.10	0.31	-0.30	24	-10	34	13.5	14.4	-0.86	17.1	13.6	3.44
Danny Green	25	25	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.32	23	-9	32	13.3	14.2	-0.83	15.3	15.3	0.04
Manu Ginobili	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	13	-12	14.1	13.8	0.36	17.3	13.8	3.42
Stephen Jackson	51	51	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.39	-10	24	-34	14.4	13.5	0.86	13.6	17.1	-3.44
Matt Bonner	25	23	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	15	-16	13.4	14.1	-0.78	16.4	14.9	1.49
Gary Neal	38	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.50	-16	30	-46	14.8	13.4	1.39	13.4	16.5	-3.04
Tiago Splitter	28	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.29	-9	23	-32	14.9	13.6	1.29	15.9	15.0	0.82
James Anderson	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	14	-14	14.4	13.8	0.60	13.4	16.0	-2.64
Patty Mills	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.42	-14	28	-42	14.5	13.6	0.90	13.7	16.2	-2.53
Boris Diaw	37	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.33	-11	25	-36	14.0	13.9	0.14	13.0	16.6	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.3%
CHI 91, HOU 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
GSW 84, DEN 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%