inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 90 Excitement1.7 [1057] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +10.7%
Miami Heat 129 Comeback1.0 [776] LVPD.J. Augustin (CHA): -9.1%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DJ White0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.160.000.111287%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Kemba Walker0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.041355%0.0110.00560%0.00
Cory Higgins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01550%0.0000.0000%0.00
Byron Mullens-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.05637%-0.012-0.004100%0.01
Derrick Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.031158%-0.012-0.00250%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03537%-0.011-0.01633%-0.01
DeSagana Diop-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02462%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Matt Carroll-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02425%-0.0410.0000%0.00
Gerald Henderson-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.041331%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Corey Maggette-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.05614%-0.031-0.012100%0.01
D.J. Augustin-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.180.00-0.091117%-0.063-0.032100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.000.037114%0.122-0.0100%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.051375%0.113-0.026100%0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01567%0.041-0.002100%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.06876%0.042-0.02580%-0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.041661%0.033-0.024100%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mickell Gladness0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrel Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05664%0.0000.002100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.02450%-0.0000.004100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.0430%-0.0200.0020%-0.02
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.040.000.061062%-0.012-0.01667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.92.729.715.723.70.829.3127.7
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +40.6%
MIA +4.5%
MIA +0.7%
MIA +3.2%
MIA +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game14.912.215.684.9121.7102.8
season16.315.594.1105.6
opponent15.815.098.8108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.115.215.214.314.9
MIA12.610.912.512.912.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Higgins21210.00-0.500.500.09-3-363313.615.3-1.7112.712.10.55
Matt Carroll2929-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-342913.815.4-1.5811.812.4-0.55
Byron Mullens4847-0.12-0.380.260.32-15-24914.315.5-1.2312.911.71.12
Kemba Walker5453-0.13-0.370.250.40-18-21314.115.8-1.6212.611.80.75
Derrick Brown5756-0.13-0.370.240.48-21-18-315.314.50.7711.712.9-1.20
DeSagana Diop1011-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-322516.514.81.7211.012.4-1.37
Bismack Biyombo4445-0.18-0.320.140.41-20-19-114.315.4-1.1112.312.10.19
Boris Diaw4949-0.24-0.260.010.25-17-22515.314.60.7112.212.3-0.08
DJ White6160-0.32-0.18-0.140.24-19-20115.414.41.0211.912.6-0.71
Corey Maggette4040-0.37-0.13-0.240.28-22-17-515.214.80.4513.111.71.36
D.J. Augustin5253-0.37-0.13-0.250.24-21-18-315.814.11.6211.812.6-0.75
Gerald Henderson6566-0.41-0.09-0.330.38-27-12-1515.414.21.2212.212.20.00

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh66650.440.060.37-0.533362711.513.5-2.0516.212.93.29
Mario Chalmers60590.400.100.31-0.4228111712.811.41.4015.214.70.51
Joel Anthony63640.390.110.28-0.282316712.611.70.9315.014.80.26
LeBron James61600.390.110.28-0.312415912.212.20.0115.314.40.90
Dwyane Wade64620.350.150.20-0.352415912.212.3-0.1416.013.42.58
Udonis Haslem44450.170.33-0.15-0.351821-312.512.00.4714.915.0-0.09
James Jones54540.140.36-0.22-0.482118312.312.10.2214.115.8-1.77
Shane Battier12140.120.38-0.27-0.06633-2711.212.4-1.1014.815.0-0.18
Norris Cole46480.100.40-0.30-0.221128-1711.412.8-1.4014.415.4-0.96
Mickell Gladness20200.000.50-0.50-0.09336-3312.612.10.5212.915.4-2.46
Dexter Pittman19180.000.50-0.50-0.03138-3712.612.10.4312.315.5-3.14
Terrel Harris21210.000.50-0.50-0.09336-3312.712.10.5513.615.3-1.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 76, SAS 1090.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
DET 82, IND 1140.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
BKN 100, PHI 1220.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%