NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	3.9 [1095]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +19.0%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.2 [1213]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (LAC): -4.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.00	0.06	9	84%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	13	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.10	23	57%	0.09	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.02
Willie Warren	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	7	21%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.21	0.01	0.03	19	72%	0.19	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.12	0	0.00	14	93%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	11	73%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	12	35%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	27.0	15.5	26.4	2.5	37.2	139.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.6%

PHX +3.6%

LAC -0.1%

PHX +17.0%

PHX +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	15.0	15.5	114.9	122.1	105.7
season	15.4	14.5		104.4	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.3		109.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	19.0	13.4	14.1	15.4
PHX	10.9	16.2	14.3	20.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Warren	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-14	20	16.3	15.0	1.33	15.8	14.6	1.14
Randy Foye	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-3	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.70	9.2	15.9	-6.63
Craig Smith	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	16.1	15.2	0.96	13.1	15.8	-2.70
Rasual Butler	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-13	18	16.8	14.5	2.37	16.2	14.3	1.90
Brian Cook	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-13	18	16.9	13.9	3.03	16.8	13.3	3.49
Eric Bledsoe	22	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	3	-14	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Ryan Gomes	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-13	18	15.9	14.7	1.17	16.4	12.8	3.61
DeAndre Jordan	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	4	-16	14.9	15.7	-0.77	13.0	16.2	-3.18
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-1	-6	13.8	17.2	-3.43	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Blake Griffin	73	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.0	17.0	-1.95	15.2	14.4	0.81
Eric Gordon	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	6	-20	14.7	19.1	-4.45	14.8	16.4	-1.68

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	61	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.18	25	-17	42	13.5	17.9	-4.42	14.8	16.7	-1.85
Channing Frye	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-11	30	14.2	18.2	-4.06	14.8	17.9	-3.15
Hakim Warrick	73	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	0	8	15.4	14.0	1.36	14.9	17.1	-2.24
Jason Richardson	69	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	-9	26	13.5	19.2	-5.77	14.5	18.1	-3.61
Grant Hill	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	-2	12	13.7	16.8	-3.12	14.5	16.8	-2.37
Jared Dudley	42	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	12	-16	16.5	13.9	2.61	16.8	14.5	2.37
Josh Childress	27	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.37	-11	19	-30	18.6	13.6	5.01	18.1	14.5	3.61
Earl Barron	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	15	-22	19.3	14.4	4.91	20.6	14.7	5.90
Hedo Turkoglu	29	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	10	-12	15.1	15.0	0.09	16.3	15.0	1.22
Goran Dragic	32	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.40	-15	23	-38	18.4	13.3	5.07	16.7	14.8	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 97, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
POR 78, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
WAS 74, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%