inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 74 Excitement3.1 [1197] MVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +9.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 105 Comeback1.0 [1241] LVPLarry Hughes (WAS): -10.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.012056%0.081-0.01580%-0.00
Juan Dixon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03638%0.0100.001100%0.00
Peter Ramos0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0840%0.0010.0000%0.00
Laron Profit0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01150%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.02850%-0.012-0.01450%-0.02
Michael Ruffin-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.0310%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04714%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.031739%-0.022-0.042100%0.00
Anthony Peeler-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03520%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.011229%-0.072-0.0400%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.001560%0.0900.005100%0.02
Jeff McInnis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.021254%0.0700.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021254%0.052-0.032100%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.01367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.021100%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03669%0.011-0.014100%0.01
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03850%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01362%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.022053%0.024-0.04580%-0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04617%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.91.829.415.722.22.424.6122.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +27.1%
CLE +7.0%
CLE +12.4%
CLE +1.3%
CLE +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game14.215.515.575.5109.4104.0
season14.716.2104.7104.6
opponent15.315.5103.9105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.514.112.915.214.2
CLE13.215.319.314.815.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Peter Ramos9100.00-0.500.500.12-4-272312.814.3-1.5514.715.6-0.92
Laron Profit9100.00-0.500.500.12-4-272312.814.3-1.5514.715.6-0.92
Samaki Walker1212-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-302915.414.01.4116.815.31.50
Jared Jeffries2930-0.08-0.420.340.15-8-231514.514.10.4214.915.8-0.90
Anthony Peeler4038-0.14-0.360.230.39-18-13-515.713.12.5615.715.40.27
Juan Dixon3939-0.17-0.330.160.42-20-11-915.413.41.9515.515.5-0.01
Michael Ruffin3938-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-14-314.414.00.4215.815.40.40
Jarvis Hayes4746-0.29-0.21-0.080.21-17-14-314.613.80.7515.315.7-0.46
Brendan Haywood6259-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-211113.415.5-2.0815.615.40.14
Larry Hughes5655-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-211113.115.7-2.6415.415.7-0.28
Gilbert Arenas6866-0.38-0.12-0.270.26-22-9-1313.914.9-0.9815.914.81.10
Antawn Jamison8077-0.46-0.04-0.430.24-24-7-1714.214.3-0.1215.515.7-0.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff McInnis63660.470.030.44-0.382922715.515.6-0.1814.413.70.74
LeBron James77790.460.040.43-0.272561915.017.5-2.5013.915.5-1.60
Drew Gooden67700.460.040.42-0.332742315.415.9-0.5414.413.50.91
Zydrunas Ilgauskas74760.410.090.33-0.262381515.316.4-1.0913.915.3-1.46
Eric Snow55570.330.170.17-0.2821101115.415.7-0.2814.913.11.83
Ira Newble43430.130.37-0.24-0.05625-1915.915.20.7413.215.0-1.82
Lucious Harris32320.080.42-0.34-0.10625-1915.215.7-0.4113.914.3-0.46
Scott Williams990.080.42-0.350.02229-2717.715.32.3718.113.84.32
Robert Traylor19190.040.46-0.420.04031-3116.515.31.2513.914.3-0.36
Sasha Pavlovic18170.040.46-0.43-0.14625-1917.715.02.7115.314.01.34
DeSagana Diop13130.000.50-0.50-0.18625-1915.515.5-0.0713.414.3-0.92
Anderson Varejao1090.000.50-0.50-0.12427-2314.715.6-0.9212.814.3-1.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 74, CLE 930.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
DEN 98, SEA 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.99,195.9%
WAS 76, BOS 880.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.79,0.79,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.5%