NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	74		Excitement	2.7 [1166]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): +6.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.2 [949]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -10.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Long	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Hubert Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	13	50%	0.01	1	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
Donald Whiteside	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sharone Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Cureton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	12	38%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	-0.01	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.06	16	49%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	88%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	1.7	25.6	15.0	24.1	2.4	24.4	123.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +14.4%

CLE +10.0%

CLE +6.7%

CLE +17.2%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.6	85.1	105.7	104.4
season	16.1	17.8		102.2	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.0		100.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	18.4	18.5	15.0	16.5
CLE	12.7	17.6	19.4	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sharone Wright	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-19	19	19.7	16.1	3.58	19.9	16.0	3.90
Donald Whiteside	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	14.3	16.9	-2.55	14.2	16.8	-2.53
Earl Cureton	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-20	21	17.8	16.2	1.61	17.5	16.1	1.44
John Long	23	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-14	9	14.9	17.1	-2.26	16.4	16.4	0.07
Marcus Camby	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-14	9	13.9	16.8	-2.92	13.7	16.6	-2.90
Hubert Davis	47	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-18	17	15.9	17.3	-1.38	16.5	16.3	0.15
Popeye Jones	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-8	-3	16.2	17.3	-1.06	16.2	16.9	-0.67
Walt Williams	58	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	1	-21	16.0	17.6	-1.53	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Acie Earl	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	-2	-15	16.5	16.7	-0.20	15.6	18.6	-3.00
Doug Christie	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	-3	-13	17.0	15.0	2.05	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Damon Stoudamire	67	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	3	-25	17.7	12.6	5.10	17.5	12.7	4.77

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	63	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-2	23	16.7	15.5	1.27	17.5	14.0	3.49
Chris Mills	63	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.36	29	-10	39	16.6	15.9	0.65	18.1	12.8	5.25
Tyrone Hill	56	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	-2	23	17.1	15.2	1.88	18.3	13.8	4.54
Bobby Phills	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	2	15	17.4	15.4	2.05	19.0	13.9	5.17
Danny Ferry	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.16	15	4	11	16.3	16.5	-0.17	16.0	17.1	-1.05
Mark West	41	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	7	5	17.1	15.7	1.42	18.0	15.1	2.91
Bob Sura	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	6	7	15.2	17.7	-2.52	14.9	18.2	-3.30
Antonio Lang	27	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.25	-8	27	-35	16.0	16.6	-0.56	12.9	18.3	-5.45
Carl Thomas	7	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	25	-31	13.6	16.6	-3.06	10.8	17.0	-6.12
Donny Marshall	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	15.4	16.5	-1.11	12.3	17.0	-4.68
Reggie Geary	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	30	-41	16.2	16.4	-0.20	11.5	17.4	-5.87
Vitaly Potapenko	24	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	25	-31	14.4	17.1	-2.71	12.7	18.0	-5.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, SEA 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.99,1	96.6%
LAC 75, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
WAS 74, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%