NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	78		Excitement	3.0 [1131]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +10.3%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.1 [568]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -12.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.14	0.00	0.14	4	150%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	58%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.14	0.00	-0.12	9	25%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	9	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	16	38%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	73%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	15	35%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	13	40%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	16	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	27.6	18.3	29.5	2.8	44.0	149.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.7%

NYK +7.6%

NYK +2.0%

NYK +16.3%

NYK +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	17.7	15.5	90.7	107.1	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		103.9	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		96.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	16.1	15.6	15.0	16.0
NYK	17.1	16.6	16.5	21.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	31	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-13	13	15.1	16.5	-1.41	20.3	16.4	3.92
Dale Davis	43	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-21	29	15.1	16.8	-1.74	18.8	16.7	2.03
Shawn Kemp	37	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-7	1	15.5	16.3	-0.89	19.3	16.7	2.61
Steven Smith	58	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-12	11	15.8	16.4	-0.63	18.1	17.0	1.03
Stacey Augmon	46	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-2	-9	16.5	15.4	1.10	16.2	19.7	-3.54
Rasheed Wallace	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	1	-15	16.6	14.8	1.82	17.1	19.1	-1.97
Arvydas Sabonis	40	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	3	-19	15.6	16.2	-0.59	16.2	19.1	-2.84
Damon Stoudamire	55	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	0	-13	16.5	15.1	1.41	16.4	20.3	-3.92
Bonzi Wells	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	16.3	15.0	1.32	18.6	15.3	3.27

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	56	56	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.20	24	-11	35	17.6	18.1	-0.52	16.1	15.6	0.51
Latrell Sprewell	71	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-5	23	17.8	17.5	0.27	15.0	20.7	-5.67
Marcus Camby	43	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	-6	25	17.0	18.5	-1.48	16.9	14.9	2.03
Larry Johnson	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	10	-7	17.6	19.0	-1.42	15.3	20.2	-4.84
Allan Houston	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	10	-7	17.0	19.7	-2.70	15.9	16.2	-0.40
Kurt Thomas	37	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	3	7	17.8	17.7	0.14	17.0	15.1	1.90
Glen Rice	39	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	4	5	18.6	17.0	1.59	17.3	14.8	2.54
Luc Longley	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	21.7	17.1	4.68	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Chris Childs	29	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.32	-11	24	-35	18.1	17.6	0.52	15.6	16.1	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NOH 92, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	96.4%
MIA 74, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%