NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	106		Excitement	7.6 [122]		MVP	Naz Reid (MIN): +53.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	7.5 [139]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -13.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25	0.05	0.19	-0.01	7	64%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	18	67%	0.27	4	-0.12	15	87%	0.05
Ivica Zubac	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,0.1,0.1	-0.05	0.15	-0.01	14	45%	0.19	3	-0.09	5	20%	-0.04
Kawhi Leonard	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	17	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	7	80%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	30%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	11	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.54	0.54	0.14	0.41	0.00	11	86%	0.59	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.04	0.02	13	87%	0.28	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.15	0.00	2	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.05
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	48%	-0.02	5	-0.11	9	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.7	31.2	9.4	38.2	0.4	40.1	146.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.5%

MIN +26.2%

LAC -0.2%

LAC -0.4%

MIN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	14.1	112.8	119.8	113.7
season	15.4	14.1		112.6	116.8
opponent	14.2	13.8		112.1	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.9	16.6	19.5	14.4	16.0
MIN	15.4	16.1	14.6	14.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Sanders	58	55	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.08	4	-7	11	16.4	15.2	1.16	15.3	14.8	0.52
Brook Lopez	53	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-5	7	15.6	16.5	-0.88	14.7	15.6	-0.87
John Collins	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-2	1	16.8	12.5	4.31	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Nicolas Batum	86	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	16.2	13.9	2.29	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Kawhi Leonard	53	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	2	-7	16.9	14.7	2.24	14.4	16.2	-1.83
Kris Dunn	75	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	16.3	14.6	1.74	14.9	16.1	-1.17
James Harden	94	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.0	0.0	15.97	15.1	0.0	15.12
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	94	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.0	0.0	15.97	15.1	0.0	15.12
Ivica Zubac	84	82	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	16.6	11.0	5.56	15.1	15.2	-0.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	25	24	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-6	15	14.4	15.4	-0.94	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Mike Conley	66	69	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-1	5	15.1	15.1	0.06	16.0	16.0	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	65	69	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-6	15	14.7	16.2	-1.55	17.1	12.7	4.42
Naz Reid	78	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	15.2	14.8	0.41	16.0	15.9	0.05
Jaylen Clark	67	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	1	1	15.2	14.9	0.33	16.4	14.8	1.58
Anthony Edwards	91	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.1	0.0	15.12	16.0	0.0	15.97
Jaden McDaniels	76	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	4	-5	14.9	16.4	-1.53	16.3	14.3	1.95
Julius Randle	91	93	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	0	3	15.1	0.0	15.12	16.1	4.0	12.10
Rudy Gobert	74	77	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	4	-5	14.9	16.3	-1.44	16.6	12.9	3.77
Rob Dillingham	19	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	3	-3	16.3	14.8	1.51	17.4	15.6	1.88
Terrence Shannon Jr.	15	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	16.8	14.8	2.01	16.2	15.9	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.16,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.51,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.84,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.91,1	91.2%
DAL 96, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.72,1	91.1%
MIL 92, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,0.99,1	90.7%