NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	5.9 [628]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +25.1%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	10.3 [256]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -8.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	71%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	18	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	14	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.13	0.01	13	75%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	16	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	7	76%	0.18	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	13	63%	0.11	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.05
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	27.4	15.8	22.1	1.8	34.0	128.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.6%

IND +10.2%

NYK -11.5%

IND +2.7%

NYK -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.8	13.7	15.6	101.1	108.4	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		99.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	14.2	20.2	19.0	16.8
IND	14.7	13.0	13.4	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	18	18	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.12	10	-18	28	15.1	17.2	-2.17	15.4	13.3	2.10
Clar. Weatherspoon	63	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-1	-6	17.0	16.5	0.48	13.1	14.8	-1.78
Allan Houston	74	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-5	2	16.2	18.9	-2.72	13.7	13.5	0.17
Mark Jackson	63	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-5	2	16.9	16.7	0.20	13.7	13.7	-0.04
Shandon Anderson	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	16.9	16.8	0.10	13.8	13.6	0.19
Charlie Ward	32	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	16.7	16.9	-0.23	13.4	13.8	-0.47
Othella Harrington	43	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-5	2	16.0	17.5	-1.45	13.9	13.5	0.46
Latrell Sprewell	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	0	-8	17.4	15.0	2.34	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Kurt Thomas	63	65	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.27	-14	6	-20	17.7	15.0	2.70	13.8	13.4	0.37

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	89	88	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.14	21	-13	34	13.4	17.3	-3.90	17.1	13.2	3.89
Al Harrington	67	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-8	24	13.2	14.7	-1.51	16.8	16.9	-0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	94	93	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-6	20	13.6	20.0	-6.38	16.9	10.0	6.88
Travis Best	39	38	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	1	6	13.9	13.5	0.41	16.8	16.8	0.06
Reggie Miller	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.31	3	5	-2	14.2	11.1	3.11	17.4	13.5	3.98
Jamaal Tinsley	50	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	5	-2	13.0	14.5	-1.49	17.4	16.2	1.22
Jonathan Bender	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	17.4	13.5	3.92	11.2	17.1	-5.92
Austin Croshere	32	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	12	-16	13.6	13.7	-0.09	15.5	17.4	-1.88
Jeff Foster	19	20	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.29	-20	28	-48	15.2	13.3	1.84	14.8	17.4	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,1	92.8%
HOU 89, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
PHI 95, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1	92.5%