NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	5.6 [688]		MVP	Greg Buckner (PHI): +20.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	10.3 [240]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): -13.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	8	82%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	8	44%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11	0.01	-0.08	0.04	14	57%	-0.04	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	0.01	12	83%	0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.02	14	49%	0.07	3	-0.10	7	71%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	21%	-0.10	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	13	45%	-0.09	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	26.5	15.3	30.5	2.7	37.2	139.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.7%

PHI +3.1%

PHI +30.0%

MIL -5.3%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	17.7	15.7	104.5	110.2	100.5
season	15.3	16.2		103.6	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.2	16.4	14.5	16.3	15.1
PHI	19.5	17.1	16.8	17.1	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	67	66	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.21	10	-15	25	14.1	18.1	-4.04	17.9	17.0	0.94
Michael Redd	63	63	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.15	6	-11	17	13.6	18.8	-5.27	16.8	19.8	-3.05
Damon Jones	51	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-10	15	14.4	15.9	-1.51	17.8	17.4	0.48
Erick Strickland	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	17.5	14.3	3.18	19.7	17.0	2.64
Dan Gadzuric	16	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	3	-11	16.9	14.7	2.21	17.8	17.6	0.17
Keith Van Horn	30	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	4	-13	17.1	14.0	3.03	19.2	16.7	2.48
Brevin Knight	37	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	15.9	14.4	1.51	17.4	17.8	-0.48
Joe Smith	59	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	14.9	15.4	-0.52	17.1	18.9	-1.83
Toni Kukoc	34	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	2	-9	16.4	14.2	2.19	18.1	17.4	0.80
Desmond Mason	61	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.7	-0.97	17.0	19.0	-2.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	47	46	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-10	25	16.8	18.6	-1.83	15.2	14.9	0.36
Kenny Thomas	83	82	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.28	12	-7	19	17.5	20.6	-3.12	15.3	11.5	3.83
Zendon Hamilton	61	61	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-5	15	16.9	19.4	-2.58	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Eric Snow	82	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	17.8	16.3	1.42	15.6	9.0	6.59
John Salmons	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	9	-13	17.6	17.7	-0.10	15.4	14.4	0.94
Willie Green	29	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	-1	7	18.0	17.5	0.56	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Kyle Korver	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	16.7	17.7	-1.03	11.0	15.5	-4.48
Aaron McKie	40	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	14	-23	18.4	17.0	1.36	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Samuel Dalembert	32	33	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	17	-29	19.6	16.5	3.09	15.2	15.0	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1	93.4%
SAS 99, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.85,1	92.2%
NYK 95, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.91,1	92.2%