NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	8.3 [195]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +30.8%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	25.7 [47]		LVP	Chris Gatling (DAL): -30.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	16	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Loren Meyer	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Dumas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	8	44%	-0.08	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.28	-0.11	-0.05	0.12	18	42%	-0.23	1	-0.05	12	75%	-0.08
Chris Gatling	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.1,-0.3	-0.04	-0.27	-0.00	14	52%	-0.10	1	-0.20	14	71%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.19	0.14	0.03	21	72%	0.33	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.07
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	11	65%	0.17	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	22	56%	0.12	2	-0.16	6	83%	-0.03
Benoit Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	44%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	7	21%	-0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	31.4	15.7	27.0	1.8	42.1	147.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +52.1%

TOR +1.7%

DAL -3.8%

DAL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	TOR	NBA	DAL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.6	100.0	101.0	104.4
season	15.9	16.1		99.1	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.1	15.4	14.8	16.4	14.8
TOR	14.1	12.8	14.6	17.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Meyer	30	31	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-8	12	12.8	15.7	-2.91	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Eric Montross	38	37	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-5	6	14.7	14.9	-0.20	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Tony Dumas	23	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-5	6	14.0	15.1	-1.15	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Fred Roberts	11	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-3	2	15.0	14.8	0.19	12.7	14.9	-2.23
Jamal Mashburn	49	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	4	-12	15.9	13.7	2.22	12.9	16.6	-3.76
Derek Harper	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	1	-6	15.3	14.7	0.59	14.3	14.9	-0.54
George McCloud	40	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.54	5	-9	14	13.5	15.8	-2.24	17.2	12.9	4.27
Jason Kidd	73	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	0	-4	14.7	15.3	-0.68	14.8	14.5	0.33
Jim Jackson	69	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-4	4	15.1	14.1	1.06	14.9	14.3	0.59
Oliver Miller	58	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	1	-6	14.9	14.7	0.20	15.0	14.3	0.65
Chris Gatling	62	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	4	-12	15.8	13.1	2.61	14.9	14.3	0.56

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	56	53	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-3	10	15.6	13.6	1.95	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Hubert Davis	66	65	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	1	2	15.3	13.5	1.88	14.9	14.8	0.09
Carlos Rogers	60	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	4	-4	16.0	12.8	3.20	14.7	15.0	-0.23
Walt Williams	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-12	28	14.8	14.4	0.44	15.7	12.8	2.89
Damon Stoudamire	86	84	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	3	-2	15.1	12.2	2.94	15.0	13.3	1.71
Donald Whiteside	6	6	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	-4	12	9.8	15.0	-5.19	15.3	14.8	0.53
Doug Christie	45	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	5	-6	13.6	15.6	-2.07	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Zan Tabak	47	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.23	-5	9	-14	14.1	15.2	-1.06	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Popeye Jones	29	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	5	-6	12.2	15.7	-3.54	15.5	14.6	0.86
Sharone Wright	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	8	-12	13.9	14.8	-0.90	15.9	14.7	1.19
Benoit Benjamin	22	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	8	-12	13.8	15.0	-1.20	12.4	15.5	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.96,0.94,1,1	90.9%
MIN 87, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	90.7%
HOU 110, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.73,1	90.7%