NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	6.0 [601]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +15.9%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	21.2 [84]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -29.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	-0.02	15	67%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	15	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.09	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Joe Smith	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	8	54%	0.03	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.31,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.25	-0.10	-0.06	17	32%	-0.11	7	-0.18	3	0%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.14	-0.01	18	68%	0.34	7	-0.18	5	100%	0.04
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.08	-0.04	24	55%	0.22	8	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	2	17%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.7	31.0	15.4	27.5	2.5	30.6	137.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.7%

BOS +17.9%

DET -7.9%

BOS +2.0%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.0	15.5	90.6	104.2	100.9
season	14.3	15.1		97.9	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		101.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.7	16.4	17.8	12.3	15.1
BOS	16.0	14.2	15.0	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	18	18	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-16	20	17.4	14.6	2.84	15.2	15.0	0.25
Mikki Moore	6	6	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-13	14	18.0	14.9	3.06	8.8	15.4	-6.60
Ben Wallace	65	65	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-16	20	15.8	13.7	2.15	15.6	13.7	1.93
Michael Curry	72	70	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-13	14	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.4	13.9	1.49
Chucky Atkins	69	69	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-13	14	15.1	15.3	-0.28	15.5	13.7	1.83
Dana Barros	32	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	1	-14	14.4	15.5	-1.05	13.6	15.7	-2.04
Joe Smith	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-7	2	14.6	16.1	-1.48	15.3	14.4	0.97
Jerome Williams	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	5	-22	15.7	14.6	1.06	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Jerry Stackhouse	59	58	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	2	-16	14.6	16.0	-1.36	15.5	14.3	1.23
John Wallace	49	47	-0.72	0.23	-0.95	-0.08	-22	10	-32	14.6	15.7	-1.11	14.2	15.9	-1.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	87	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	1	10	15.1	14.6	0.43	15.6	11.1	4.50
Mark Blount	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	9	-6	15.4	14.6	0.77	15.6	14.5	1.00
Eric Williams	52	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-4	20	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.4	14.8	0.53
Kenny Anderson	35	36	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	0	12	13.6	15.8	-2.20	16.3	14.4	1.92
Paul Pierce	85	85	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	11	-10	15.2	13.2	2.04	14.8	17.5	-2.72
Bryant Stith	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	4	4	14.7	15.5	-0.77	14.6	16.0	-1.34
Randy Brown	62	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	12	-12	15.5	14.2	1.29	14.5	16.3	-1.79
Vitaly Potapenko	38	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.13	7	5	2	14.8	15.2	-0.34	15.4	15.0	0.35
Walter McCarty	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	1.0	15.2	-14.17	0.0	15.1	-15.14
Jerome Moiso	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	10	-8	17.0	15.0	2.02	4.7	15.5	-10.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.96,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, OKC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%
CHI 91, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.97,1	91.9%
CLE 92, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	91.9%