inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 134 Excitement6.4 [362] MVPNikola Joki? (DEN): +36.3%
Atlanta Hawks 133 Comeback20.3 [95] LVPPeyton Watson (DEN): -3.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Joki?0.360,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.32,0.360.150.20-0.012660%0.412-0.051587%0.01
Jamal Murray0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.160.070.08-0.001666%0.254-0.093100%0.01
Bruce Brown0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.040.024108%0.142-0.02475%-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.040.021163%0.131-0.02560%-0.01
Cameron Johnson0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.070.040.02-0.021455%0.122-0.0510%-0.01
Jonas Valan?i?nas0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.024100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Spencer Jones0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.012100%0.0700.002100%0.01
Zeke Nnaji0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011141%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.23,0.180.180.230.050.101777%0.191-0.015100%0.04
Zaccharie Risacher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.03-0.03760%0.1100.001100%0.00
Vít Krej?í0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.04894%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.01872%0.081-0.012100%0.01
Kristaps Porzi??is0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.060.060.20-0.080.061383%0.191-0.13475%-0.00
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.02233%0.021-0.012100%0.01
Mouhamed Gueye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.03-0.01-0.03437%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.012050%0.073-0.082100%0.01
Dyson Daniels0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.011454%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Keaton Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.31.428.012.431.30.035.20.0
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +32.6%
DEN +1.8%
ATL -2.4%
DEN +17.9%
DEN +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game13.913.214.2125.2126.7113.5
season14.813.2119.6113.3
opponent14.414.1113.6116.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.013.012.514.513.9
ATL12.011.914.114.913.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Valan?i?nas25250.70-0.200.910.2316-153114.713.70.9615.112.62.54
Bruce Brown98960.69-0.190.880.545-4914.013.30.6713.212.90.32
Jamal Murray1001000.54-0.040.580.453-2514.210.63.6113.016.0-2.96
Spencer Jones96950.51-0.010.520.307-61314.211.72.4712.915.6-2.67
Nikola Joki?1061040.51-0.010.510.4810114.10.014.0813.122.0-8.90
Peyton Watson94940.50-0.000.510.307-61314.510.24.3113.213.4-0.20
Tim Hardaway Jr.90880.460.040.430.383-2514.710.14.6213.412.11.34
Cameron Johnson91890.440.060.370.4110114.89.05.8113.312.50.80
Zeke Nnaji4949-0.410.91-1.320.09-1718-3514.913.11.8011.514.7-3.21

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keaton Wallace6362-0.07-0.430.35-0.02-21-313.612.61.0214.413.31.09
Kristaps Porzi??is103104-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-32-513.116.5-3.3814.25.09.20
Vít Krej?í102104-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.31-43-713.116.0-2.9014.23.710.57
Dyson Daniels98100-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.31-54-913.015.6-2.5614.111.13.00
Luke Kennard8890-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.38-32-513.412.11.3414.710.14.62
Mouhamed Gueye8283-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.35-54-913.711.32.3514.412.32.13
Onyeka Okongwu7373-0.540.04-0.59-0.16-1312-2513.213.10.1314.413.01.38
Jalen Johnson9395-0.680.18-0.86-0.47-76-1313.114.2-1.1114.311.13.22
Zaccharie Risacher7474-0.730.23-0.97-0.21-1817-3513.512.50.9413.415.1-1.66
Nickeil Alexander-Walker8688-0.790.29-1.08-0.49-109-1912.914.4-1.5114.212.81.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.42,0.27,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 106, CLE 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,090.9%
LAL 105, MIN 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,090.0%
LAL 117, CHI 1090.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.21,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,089.4%