NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	125		Excitement	6.8 [323]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +21.2%
Utah Jazz	133		Comeback	1.4 [135]		LVP	Aaron Holiday (HOU): -7.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11	0.17	-0.01	0.06	19	67%	0.17	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	25	52%	0.20	5	-0.11	12	83%	0.04
Jae'Sean Tate	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	3	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amen Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.08	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	10	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.10	0.05	17	64%	0.21	0	0.00	11	82%	-0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	14	70%	0.27	6	-0.17	12	83%	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ace Bailey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	11	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	67%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.3	29.4	0.0	29.1	0.0	44.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +60.4%

HOU -15.1%

UTA +9.1%

HOU -7.2%

UTA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	12.9	14.2	114.7	122.0	113.5
season	15.5	14.0		115.9	112.5
opponent	13.6	13.9		119.7	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	13.5	13.3	12.4	13.5
UTA	12.1	12.7	13.4	13.3	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	44	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-12	16	13.9	13.2	0.66	14.4	11.8	2.60
Josh Okogie	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	3	-14	14.9	12.8	2.08	12.7	13.0	-0.33
Clint Capela	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	2	-12	14.7	12.3	2.43	13.1	12.7	0.42
Aaron Holiday	97	97	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-6	4	13.6	12.9	0.67	12.9	12.3	0.62
Reed Sheppard	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	5	-18	13.9	12.5	1.44	12.9	12.8	0.06
Jabari Smith Jr.	102	100	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	13.2	17.9	-4.64	13.1	10.9	2.17
Alperen Sengun	109	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.5	0.0	13.51	12.9	0.0	12.88
Amen Thompson	109	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.5	0.0	13.51	12.9	0.0	12.88
Kevin Durant	101	100	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	5	-18	13.7	11.0	2.71	13.0	11.1	1.93

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Filipowski	109	109	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	12.9	0.0	12.88	13.5	0.0	13.51
Lauri Markkanen	109	109	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	12.9	0.0	12.88	13.5	0.0	13.51
Ace Bailey	94	96	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	12.9	12.9	0.02	13.0	17.3	-4.31
Keyonte George	102	103	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.30	5	3	2	13.0	11.6	1.40	13.2	19.5	-6.33
Jusuf Nurki?	86	88	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	13.4	11.0	2.33	14.1	11.1	2.94
Walter Clayton Jr.	44	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-2	12	14.0	12.1	1.84	14.0	13.1	0.90
Svi Mykhailiuk	63	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	14.0	11.4	2.54	13.6	13.4	0.20
Brice Sensabaugh	45	45	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	6	-4	13.1	12.7	0.35	14.7	12.7	1.96
Kevin Love	65	67	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	2	4	13.4	12.1	1.36	14.2	12.4	1.77
Isaiah Collier	54	53	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	11	-14	12.8	13.0	-0.24	14.1	12.9	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 101, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.92,0.97,0.97,1	94.0%
DAL 88, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.83,1,1,1	93.5%
NJN 77, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	93.5%