NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	77		Excitement	5.6 [681]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +5.8%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.6 [456]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -18.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	14	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sherman Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	12	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	2	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	5	8%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	19	39%	-0.13	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	16	63%	0.08	1	-0.04	17	76%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.08	-0.03	19	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	14	45%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	29.5	16.3	23.3	1.8	38.2	134.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +64.0%

NJN -4.9%

CHI +0.3%

NJN -14.1%

CHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.5	82.8	91.5	100.9
season	15.5	16.4		97.8	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.4	15.9	16.3	17.1	15.7
CHI	17.9	10.8	17.2	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	15.5	15.7	-0.23	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Vladimir Stepania	28	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-8	7	15.5	15.7	-0.27	13.0	16.0	-2.92
Sherman Douglas	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	18.1	14.6	3.51	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Lucious Harris	63	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-13	17	15.1	16.8	-1.69	14.5	16.6	-2.18
Johnny Newman	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-2	-5	15.1	16.0	-0.87	12.6	16.8	-4.20
Kenyon Martin	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	0	-9	15.1	16.6	-1.43	16.0	13.7	2.28
Kendall Gill	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	15.5	16.0	-0.56	15.7	14.1	1.62
Stephen Jackson	37	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	4	-17	16.8	14.9	1.83	15.1	15.2	-0.03
Aaron Williams	60	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	16.2	14.6	1.67	17.0	11.5	5.52
Stephon Marbury	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	2	-13	15.1	17.6	-2.54	15.7	13.2	2.51

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	78	76	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-9	27	15.3	14.2	1.16	15.9	14.6	1.23
Bryce Drew	63	62	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-7	23	13.9	17.6	-3.72	16.7	13.6	3.06
Ron Mercer	86	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.23	10	-1	11	15.5	11.5	3.99	15.7	15.0	0.73
Metta World Peace	70	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-1	11	15.7	13.5	2.16	15.2	17.0	-1.79
Fred Hoiberg	83	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	5	-1	15.8	9.9	5.93	15.5	17.3	-1.84
Corey Benjamin	14	15	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	4	1	12.6	15.6	-3.03	14.3	15.9	-1.66
Brad Miller	24	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	10	-11	13.5	15.7	-2.16	17.0	15.2	1.79
Michael Ruffin	8	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	10	-11	11.5	15.5	-3.99	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Jamal Crawford	19	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	12	-15	12.8	15.7	-2.89	15.9	15.6	0.36
Marcus Fizer	25	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	22	-35	18.5	13.9	4.59	13.7	16.4	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.2%
LAL 93, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.91,1	94.1%
TOR 115, LAC 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.0%