NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	6.7 [585]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +17.5%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.1 [1197]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (UTA): -17.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrison Mathews	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	22	50%	0.15	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	12	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	10	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Tari Eason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	7	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daishen Nix	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	20	39%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.02	15	71%	0.25	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.00	14	62%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	56%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.04	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-0.01	-0.03	8	18%	-0.09	4	-0.08	6	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	28.5	15.3	31.5	2.3	35.7	140.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.9%

HOU -8.8%

UTA +8.8%

UTA +8.9%

HOU -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	12.9	14.4	94.4	100.0	113.4
season	14.8	14.3		109.8	114.4
opponent	14.1	13.9		115.5	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	15.1	13.3	12.0	13.8
UTA	11.8	12.6	12.4	14.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	45	46	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-13	18	13.6	13.9	-0.31	14.0	12.1	1.91
Boban Marjanovic	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	18.2	13.6	4.62	11.3	12.9	-1.58
Daishen Nix	26	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-7	6	13.4	13.9	-0.55	12.1	13.1	-0.98
Kenyon Martin Jr.	55	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-12	16	13.5	14.1	-0.64	12.0	13.8	-1.75
Usman Garuba	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	13.8	13.8	-0.04	10.0	13.6	-3.60
Garrison Mathews	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-8	8	14.2	13.6	0.55	13.4	12.6	0.81
Kevin Porter Jr.	79	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-5	2	13.8	13.9	-0.17	13.1	12.4	0.72
Jabari Smith Jr.	70	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-5	2	13.6	14.1	-0.47	13.8	11.0	2.87
Eric Gordon	64	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	14.1	13.4	0.64	13.9	11.3	2.58
Tari Eason	52	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	3	-14	14.1	13.5	0.64	12.2	13.5	-1.23
Jalen Green	83	84	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.13	-19	11	-30	13.7	14.3	-0.68	12.2	15.0	-2.81

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-2	12	13.1	12.2	0.95	13.4	14.8	-1.43
Talen Horton-Tucker	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	0	8	13.1	12.6	0.49	13.6	14.1	-0.45
Jordan Clarkson	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	13.1	12.4	0.72	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Mike Conley	64	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	2	4	13.2	12.4	0.88	13.8	13.8	0.03
Kelly Olynyk	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	0	8	13.1	12.5	0.68	13.4	14.4	-0.95
Malik Beasley	68	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	12	-16	12.9	12.9	0.03	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Collin Sexton	23	23	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-2	12	10.9	13.4	-2.48	15.6	13.3	2.24
Jarred Vanderbilt	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	1	6	13.9	12.2	1.69	14.2	13.6	0.67
Rudy Gay	34	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	11	-14	12.6	13.0	-0.37	14.7	13.4	1.37
Walker Kessler	26	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	12	-16	10.7	13.5	-2.81	14.5	13.6	0.97
Simone Fontecchio	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	14	-20	10.9	13.2	-2.31	14.4	13.7	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.92,0.97,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 75, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.96,1,1,1	94.7%
SEA 92, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	94.1%
BOS 83, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.85,1,1,1	93.9%