NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	6.3 [526]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +19.8%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	1.1 [591]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (SEA): -25.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	11	55%	0.12	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	6	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Pervis Ellison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	8	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	26	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Vin Baker	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	17	42%	-0.03	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.10	0.01	9	33%	-0.17	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.08

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.00	23	69%	0.32	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.04
Michael Curry	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.02	9	70%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.05	0.02	16	41%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	26.5	15.5	25.2	1.7	30.4	124.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +71.1%

SEA -0.7%

SEA -1.7%

SEA -18.5%

SEA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.5	96.8	105.2	100.9
season	15.2	14.3		103.8	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		99.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.2	16.4	14.0	14.3	15.5
DET	12.1	14.2	17.9	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	39	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-13	17	14.2	16.4	-2.25	14.8	14.5	0.28
Pervis Ellison	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-9	9	17.9	15.0	2.90	12.7	15.1	-2.45
Ruben Patterson	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-15	21	14.0	16.9	-2.92	15.2	14.2	0.99
Jelani McCoy	10	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	0	-9	16.2	15.4	0.78	15.6	14.5	1.11
Desmond Mason	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	9	-27	17.5	14.0	3.57	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Rashard Lewis	75	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	15.3	16.3	-1.07	14.9	13.8	1.02
Patrick Ewing	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	15.2	16.3	-1.05	15.0	13.8	1.16
Gary Payton	95	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.5	0.0	15.51	14.7	0.0	14.66
Vin Baker	80	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	-1	-7	15.8	13.8	2.03	14.7	14.5	0.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.22	13	-4	17	14.8	14.3	0.49	15.6	15.3	0.33
Chucky Atkins	71	69	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-8	25	14.8	14.2	0.62	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Jerry Stackhouse	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-1	11	14.5	15.1	-0.57	15.5	15.6	-0.18
Michael Curry	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	6	-3	14.9	13.8	1.08	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Ben Wallace	59	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	8	-7	15.5	13.3	2.21	14.6	16.9	-2.32
Cedric Ceballos	21	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	3	3	13.8	14.9	-1.08	16.8	15.1	1.67
Jerome Williams	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	13.4	15.5	-2.09	15.7	15.4	0.30
Mikki Moore	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	7	-5	14.2	14.8	-0.62	16.9	14.9	1.95
Jud Buechler	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	10	-11	15.1	14.5	0.57	15.6	15.5	0.18
Mateen Cleaves	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.17	-8	17	-25	14.2	14.8	-0.62	16.1	15.3	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.97,0.96,1	93.0%
VAN 75, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
BOS 82, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.9%