NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	6.2 [594]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +24.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.1 [1076]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -17.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.04	-0.03	3	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	17	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.07	-0.01	16	47%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Allan Ray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	3	75%	0.04	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	-0.01	15	68%	0.27	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.07	-0.03	5	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.11	5	-0.18	17	65%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	21%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	8	24%	-0.07	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	11	55%	0.01	8	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	29.5	15.7	29.0	1.7	39.2	141.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +15.8%

PHI +0.9%

PHI +20.6%

PHI +4.2%

PHI +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.4	85.4	92.6	104.5
season	15.5	15.5		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	16.0	14.7	11.9	14.6
PHI	16.8	15.3	14.0	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	28	27	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.06	3	-9	12	11.7	15.7	-4.00	17.1	15.0	2.19
Sebastian Telfair	40	40	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.21	9	-15	24	13.1	15.7	-2.59	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Ryan Gomes	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-11	16	13.9	15.4	-1.46	15.7	15.4	0.27
Allan Ray	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	13.3	15.8	-2.44	15.7	15.4	0.27
Gerald Green	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	14.6	14.6	0.01	16.1	15.2	0.89
Kendrick Perkins	54	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	3	-12	16.0	12.8	3.20	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Delonte West	92	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.4	19.0	-4.61	15.6	14.8	0.82
Rajon Rondo	58	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	7	-20	16.0	12.4	3.67	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Al Jefferson	68	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.35	-13	7	-20	15.9	11.4	4.55	15.5	15.7	-0.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	45	44	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-5	16	14.7	16.4	-1.69	13.6	15.4	-1.87
Andre Miller	80	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	-4	14	15.4	16.7	-1.37	15.4	10.8	4.57
Andre Iguodala	93	94	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	15.5	18.0	-2.47	14.6	12.0	2.64
Kyle Korver	74	74	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	2	2	15.1	17.1	-1.95	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Samuel Dalembert	70	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	0	6	16.3	13.6	2.74	15.3	12.4	2.89
Rodney Carney	28	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	6	-6	15.6	15.6	0.04	14.7	14.5	0.22
Lou Williams	23	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	6	-6	16.2	15.4	0.79	13.1	15.1	-1.98
Steven Hunter	62	62	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	15	-24	16.0	14.7	1.35	14.3	15.1	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	95.2%
NOH 89, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.89,1,1,1	94.5%
BOS 83, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.85,1,1,1	94.0%